LOTL-hunter: Detecting multi-stage living-off-the-land attacks in cyber-physical systems using decision fusion techniques with digital twins

• Digital Twin-based testbed enables safe and repeatable cyber-physical threat simulation. • Multimodal anomaly fusion improves detection of stealthy, multi-stage APT attacks • Confidence-aware decision logic resolves missing data and prediction conflicts • Per-minute aggregation and alignment of anomalies support IT/OT threat hunting • Cyber-physical threat summary integrates IT/OT anomalies for explainability The integration of smart sensors and actuators in industrial environments has expanded the cyber-physical attack surface, making it increasingly difficult to distinguish anomalies caused by cyberattacks from those due to mechanical or electrical faults. This challenge is exacerbated by stealthy, multi-stage attacks leveraging Living off the Land (LOTL) techniques, which often evade conventional anomaly detection or intrusion detection systems (IDS). This study presents a Digital Twin-based testbed for safe, repeatable simulation of multi-stage cyber-physical attacks targeting Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) and Industrial Control Systems (ICS). We propose a two-level decision fusion method that aggregates and aligns anomalies across network, process, and host domains in synchronized 1-minute intervals. The first-level fusion improves OT-layer detection by applying confidence-aware decision logic to outputs combined from (a) a supervised deep learning model (LSTM-FCN) for process anomalies, (b) an unsupervised model (Isolation Forest) for OPC UA network anomalies, and (c) process alarm signals. The second-level fusion integrates these results with host-based anomalies, computed through point-based scoring of Wazuh alerts, to provide comprehensive IT/OT situational awareness. Experimental results demonstrate improved detection of stealthy, multi-stage APT attack behaviours. Additionally, Large Language Models (LLM) provide summarization of the integrated IT/OT anomaly logs into human-readable insights, enhancing interpretability and supporting cyber threat hunting.

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Publication Details

Journal
Future Generation Computer Systems
Published
2026-01-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.future.2026.108382
Primary Topic
Smart Grid Security and Resilience
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

LOTL-hunter: Detecting multi-stage living-off-the-land attacks in cyber-physical systems using decision fusion techniques with digital twins

Zeinab Rezaeifar, Thu Yein Win, Zaheer Khan, Carol Lo et al.
Future Generation Computer Systems
Smart Grid Security and Resilience
article

LOTL-hunter: Detecting multi-stage living-off-the-land attacks in cyber-physical systems using decision fusion techniques with digital twins

Zeinab Rezaeifar, Thu Yein Win, Zaheer Khan, Carol Lo, Phil Legg
article en

Abstract

• Digital Twin-based testbed enables safe and repeatable cyber-physical threat simulation. • Multimodal anomaly fusion improves detection of stealthy, multi-stage APT attacks • Confidence-aware decision logic resolves missing data and prediction conflicts • Per-minute aggregation and alignment of anomalies support IT/OT threat hunting • Cyber-physical threat summary integrates IT/OT anomalies for explainability The integration of smart sensors and actuators in industrial environments has expanded the cyber-physical attack surface, making it increasingly difficult to distinguish anomalies caused by cyberattacks from those due to mechanical or electrical faults. This challenge is exacerbated by stealthy, multi-stage attacks leveraging Living off the Land (LOTL) techniques, which often evade conventional anomaly detection or intrusion detection systems (IDS). This study presents a Digital Twin-based testbed for safe, repeatable simulation of multi-stage cyber-physical attacks targeting Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) and Industrial Control Systems (ICS). We propose a two-level decision fusion method that aggregates and aligns anomalies across network, process, and host domains in synchronized 1-minute intervals. The first-level fusion improves OT-layer detection by applying confidence-aware decision logic to outputs combined from (a) a supervised deep learning model (LSTM-FCN) for process anomalies, (b) an unsupervised model (Isolation Forest) for OPC UA network anomalies, and (c) process alarm signals. The second-level fusion integrates these results with host-based anomalies, computed through point-based scoring of Wazuh alerts, to provide comprehensive IT/OT situational awareness. Experimental results demonstrate improved detection of stealthy, multi-stage APT attack behaviours. Additionally, Large Language Models (LLM) provide summarization of the integrated IT/OT anomaly logs into human-readable insights, enhancing interpretability and supporting cyber threat hunting.

Future Generation Computer SystemsVol. 180
University of the West of England (GB), University of Sunderland (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 82%
Smart Grid Security and Resilience
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