Decoding Ukraine's naval victories: A logic model approach

Decoding Ukraine's naval victories: A logic model approach This article introduces the Black Sea Battle Lab (BBL) logic model, a framework designed to trace how Ukraine’s operational responses to Russia’s invasion link strategic pressures to measurable outcomes and broader doctrinal insights. Russia’s illegal full-scale invasion of Ukraine has turned the Black Sea into a contested maritime domain, where securing Sea Lines of Communication (SLOCs) is essential [1] not only for enabling Ukraine’s path to victory, but also for protecting global export routes and energy transit corridors [2]. Despite initial setbacks, Ukraine has demonstrated remarkable resolve and combat efficiency, most notably through the use of technology, decentralized command structures, and coalition building [3]. These efforts have challenged conventional military doctrines and reshaped strategic thinking on naval warfare.