Prediction of terrestrial water storage changes by using GRACE data over Nile river basin

This research involved training two deep learning prediction models: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Dipper Throated Optimizations Fitness Grey Wolf-LSTM (DTOFGW-LSTM), utilizing data obtained from remote sensing to reconstruct and predict the Terrestrial Water Storage Changes (TWSC) over Nile River Basin (NRB). We evaluated factors including Terrestrial Water Storage Changes (TWSC) and Groundwater Storage Changes (GWSC), identified through the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE-Follow-On (GRACE-FO), alongside precipitation data collected by the Global Precipitation Climate Change Program (GPCP) to analyze the patterns of change within the research area. We utilized the LSTM and DTOFGW-LSTM algorithms to rebuild the TWSC and GWSC from 2018 to 2024. We utilized the precise model to forecast the GRACE gap from 2017 to 2018 and the TWSC from 2024 to 2030. The findings demonstrated the superiority of the suggested model (DTOFGW-LSTM) with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.51, a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.99, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.21.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Geodesy and Cartography
Published
2026-01-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3846/gac.2026.22447
Primary Topic
Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Prediction of terrestrial water storage changes by using GRACE data over Nile river basin

Mahmoud El-Mewafi, Basma Fawzi, Mahmoud Salah
Geodesy and Cartography
Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
article

Prediction of terrestrial water storage changes by using GRACE data over Nile river basin

Mahmoud El-Mewafi, Basma Fawzi, Mahmoud Salah
article en

Abstract

This research involved training two deep learning prediction models: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Dipper Throated Optimizations Fitness Grey Wolf-LSTM (DTOFGW-LSTM), utilizing data obtained from remote sensing to reconstruct and predict the Terrestrial Water Storage Changes (TWSC) over Nile River Basin (NRB). We evaluated factors including Terrestrial Water Storage Changes (TWSC) and Groundwater Storage Changes (GWSC), identified through the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE-Follow-On (GRACE-FO), alongside precipitation data collected by the Global Precipitation Climate Change Program (GPCP) to analyze the patterns of change within the research area. We utilized the LSTM and DTOFGW-LSTM algorithms to rebuild the TWSC and GWSC from 2018 to 2024. We utilized the precise model to forecast the GRACE gap from 2017 to 2018 and the TWSC from 2024 to 2030. The findings demonstrated the superiority of the suggested model (DTOFGW-LSTM) with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.51, a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.99, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.21.

Geodesy and CartographyVol. 52(1)
Delta Air Lines (United States) (US), Mansoura University (EG), Benha University (EG), Higher Institute of Engineering (EG)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 84%
Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Prediction of terrestrial water storage changes by using GRACE data over Nile river basin — Mahmoud El-Mewafi, Basma Fawzi, et al. · Geodesy and Cartography (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS