Identifying and Prioritizing Barriers to Modular Construction Adoption in China: A Multi-Method Stakeholder Analysis

Modular construction (MC) offers significant environmental and efficiency advantages yet maintains low market penetration in China despite substantial government support. This study addresses the critical knowledge gap by systematically analyzing complex barrier interrelationships across project phases and stakeholder groups (university, construction authority, supplier/manufacturer company) to develop a comprehensive MC promotion framework. A four-phase mixed method approach was employed. (1) Grounded theory analysis of MC policy frameworks was performed in Singapore, the United States, and Hong Kong to extract best practice insights. (2) A systematic literature review and multi-round Delphi expert consultations were used to identify 21 core barriers across six project stages (decision-making, procurement, design, production, transportation, and construction acceptance). (3) The DEMATEL analysis reveals causal relationships among barriers based on experts’ perceived influence between factors. (4) Integrated ISM-MICMAC methodology was used to establish hierarchical structures and barrier classifications. Institutional barriers emerged as the primary impediment to MC diffusion, with unclear authority distribution between government administrations and design organizations identified as the most critical factor. The MICMAC analysis categorized the 21 barriers into four distinct groups based on their driving power and dependence characteristics, revealing complex causal relationships among barriers across the six project stages while highlighting the emergent role of higher education institutions in industrial transformation. Successful MC implementation requires market-oriented, context-specific strategies prioritizing institutional framework development, with the findings providing actionable insights for policymakers to address regulatory ambiguities and practical guidance for industry practitioners developing targeted MC promotion strategies in emerging markets.