The benefits and risks of maternal RSV vaccination on mortality in South Africa: A modeling study

If RSVpreF increases preterm birth risk, and if this increases neonatal mortality, then the benefit-risk analysis failed to show that the direct benefits of vaccination in reducing RSV-associated infant mortality would substantially outweigh the risks of preterm birth-associated neonatal mortality in South Africa with vaccination from 24 GA to 36 GA weeks. There was large uncertainty in the analyses due to small numbers of preterm births. With vaccination from 27 GA weeks, the benefit-risk analysis favored vaccination. RSVpreF vaccination has the potential to be safe and effective when used from the third trimester.

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Publication Details

Journal
PLoS Medicine
Published
2026-01-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004625
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Respiratory viral infections research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
31.52

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article

The benefits and risks of maternal RSV vaccination on mortality in South Africa: A modeling study

Stefan Flasche, Akira Endo, Sequoia I Leuba, Simon R. Procter et al.
1 citations
PLoS Medicine
Respiratory viral infections research
31.52
article

The benefits and risks of maternal RSV vaccination on mortality in South Africa: A modeling study

Stefan Flasche, Akira Endo, Sequoia I Leuba, Simon R. Procter, Mark Jit, Maternal RSV Vaccine Benefit-Risk Advisory Group, Ayaka Monoi
article en
1 citations

Abstract

If RSVpreF increases preterm birth risk, and if this increases neonatal mortality, then the benefit-risk analysis failed to show that the direct benefits of vaccination in reducing RSV-associated infant mortality would substantially outweigh the risks of preterm birth-associated neonatal mortality in South Africa with vaccination from 24 GA to 36 GA weeks. There was large uncertainty in the analyses due to small numbers of preterm births. With vaccination from 27 GA weeks, the benefit-risk analysis favored vaccination. RSVpreF vaccination has the potential to be safe and effective when used from the third trimester.

PLoS MedicineVol. 23(1)
National University of Singapore (SG), London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB), National University Health System (SG), Nagasaki University (JP), New York University (US), Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin (DE)
World Health Organization
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Respiratory viral infections research
31.52
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