Financial finance valuation applied to option trading

Abstract A framework is developed for option positioning and trading based on Financial Finance Valuation (FFV), a methodology that defines value as the infimum of expected future cash flows under different test measures plus a rebate for the less likely outcomes. Positions are designed by solving a max-min optimization problem where the inner minimization evaluates a given position and the outer maximization selects the most valuable configuration. The optimization problem is solved efficiently using Disciplined Saddle Programming (DSP). The framework is implemented assuming a base measure in which return dynamics follow a Sato process with bilateral gamma laws at unit time. Backtests on SPY, AAPL and AMZN options from January 2017 to December 2024 show consistent compounding returns and stable risk-adjusted performance. The results demonstrate that FFV-based positioning can generate practical, implementable option trading strategies that adapt to changing market conditions while maintaining rigorous risk controls.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistics & Risk Modeling
Published
2026-01-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1515/strm-2025-0021
Primary Topic
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
Type
article
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article

Financial finance valuation applied to option trading

Dilip B. Madan, Yoshihiro Shirai, King Wang
Statistics & Risk Modeling
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
article

Financial finance valuation applied to option trading

Dilip B. Madan, Yoshihiro Shirai, King Wang
article en

Abstract

Abstract A framework is developed for option positioning and trading based on Financial Finance Valuation (FFV), a methodology that defines value as the infimum of expected future cash flows under different test measures plus a rebate for the less likely outcomes. Positions are designed by solving a max-min optimization problem where the inner minimization evaluates a given position and the outer maximization selects the most valuable configuration. The optimization problem is solved efficiently using Disciplined Saddle Programming (DSP). The framework is implemented assuming a base measure in which return dynamics follow a Sato process with bilateral gamma laws at unit time. Backtests on SPY, AAPL and AMZN options from January 2017 to December 2024 show consistent compounding returns and stable risk-adjusted performance. The results demonstrate that FFV-based positioning can generate practical, implementable option trading strategies that adapt to changing market conditions while maintaining rigorous risk controls.

Statistics & Risk Modeling
University of Washington (US), Morgan Stanley (United States) (US), University of Maryland, College Park (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 85%
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
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Financial finance valuation applied to option trading — Dilip B. Madan, Yoshihiro Shirai, et al. · Statistics & Risk Modeling (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS