Prognostic Value of the National Early Warning Score Combined with Nutritional and Endothelial Stress Indices for Mortality Prediction in Critically Ill Patients with Pneumonia

<i>Background and Objectives</i>: Pneumonia is a leading cause of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and is associated with high mortality, particularly among patients with multiple comorbidities. Accurate early risk stratification is essential for guiding clinical decision-making in critically ill patients. However, the prognostic benefit of combining clinical scoring systems with nutritional and endothelial stress indices in ICU patients with pneumonia remains unclear. <i>Materials and Methods</i>: This retrospective, single-center cohort study included adult patients admitted to the ICU with a diagnosis of pneumonia between 1 January 2023 and 1 July 2025. Demographic characteristics, comorbidities, clinical variables, laboratory parameters, and prognostic scores were obtained from electronic medical records. The National Early Warning Score (NEWS), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and Endothelial Activation and Stress Index (EASIX) were calculated at ICU admission. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to examine variables associated with in-hospital mortality. The discriminative performance of individual and combined prognostic models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. <i>Results</i>: A total of 221 patients were included; 79 (35.7%) survived and 142 (64.3%) died during hospitalization. Non-survivors had significantly higher NEWS and EASIX values and lower PNI values compared with survivors (all <i>p</i> < 0.05). In multivariate analysis, endotracheal intubation (OR: 12.46; <i>p</i> < 0.001), inotropic use (OR: 5.14; <i>p</i> = 0.001), and serum lactate levels (OR: 1.75; <i>p</i> = 0.003) were identified as being independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Models combining NEWS with PNI or EASIX demonstrated improved discriminatory performance. <i>Conclusions</i>: In critically ill patients with pneumonia, integrating NEWS with nutritional and endothelial stress indices provides numerically improved discrimination compared with NEWS alone, although the incremental gain did not reach statistical significance.

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Journal
Medicina
Published
2026-01-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina62010207
Primary Topic
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
Type
article
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article

Prognostic Value of the National Early Warning Score Combined with Nutritional and Endothelial Stress Indices for Mortality Prediction in Critically Ill Patients with Pneumonia

Feyza Mutlay, Özge Kurtkulağı, Ferhan Demirer Aydemir, Murat Daş et al.
Medicina
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
article

Prognostic Value of the National Early Warning Score Combined with Nutritional and Endothelial Stress Indices for Mortality Prediction in Critically Ill Patients with Pneumonia

Feyza Mutlay, Özge Kurtkulağı, Ferhan Demirer Aydemir, Murat Daş, Ece Ünal Çetin, Yavuz Beyazıt
article en

Abstract

<i>Background and Objectives</i>: Pneumonia is a leading cause of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and is associated with high mortality, particularly among patients with multiple comorbidities. Accurate early risk stratification is essential for guiding clinical decision-making in critically ill patients. However, the prognostic benefit of combining clinical scoring systems with nutritional and endothelial stress indices in ICU patients with pneumonia remains unclear. <i>Materials and Methods</i>: This retrospective, single-center cohort study included adult patients admitted to the ICU with a diagnosis of pneumonia between 1 January 2023 and 1 July 2025. Demographic characteristics, comorbidities, clinical variables, laboratory parameters, and prognostic scores were obtained from electronic medical records. The National Early Warning Score (NEWS), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and Endothelial Activation and Stress Index (EASIX) were calculated at ICU admission. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to examine variables associated with in-hospital mortality. The discriminative performance of individual and combined prognostic models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. <i>Results</i>: A total of 221 patients were included; 79 (35.7%) survived and 142 (64.3%) died during hospitalization. Non-survivors had significantly higher NEWS and EASIX values and lower PNI values compared with survivors (all <i>p</i> < 0.05). In multivariate analysis, endotracheal intubation (OR: 12.46; <i>p</i> < 0.001), inotropic use (OR: 5.14; <i>p</i> = 0.001), and serum lactate levels (OR: 1.75; <i>p</i> = 0.003) were identified as being independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Models combining NEWS with PNI or EASIX demonstrated improved discriminatory performance. <i>Conclusions</i>: In critically ill patients with pneumonia, integrating NEWS with nutritional and endothelial stress indices provides numerically improved discrimination compared with NEWS alone, although the incremental gain did not reach statistical significance.

MedicinaVol. 62(1)
Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi (TR)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 84%
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
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