Event‐Level Linkages Between Atmospheric Circulation and Anomalous Precipitation Types in a Typical East Asian Monsoon Basin
Abstract Anomalous precipitation, with unexpected intensity and/or spatiotemporal structures, makes flood risk management in the East Asian monsoon regions challenging, where interacting circulation systems generate highly variable precipitation events. We develop an event‐level quantitative framework based on a novel lightweight Trans‐Unet model and apply it to the Hanjiang River Basin as proof‐of‐concept using a 59‐year, 1‐km daily precipitation data set. The framework reveals four patterns: West‐type (37.0% of events), Middle‐type (25.3%), Southeast‐type (21.7%), and East‐type (16.0%). West‐type events show bimodal seasonality in July and September, with July peaks linked to ∼20% fewer September events, suggesting potential implications for adaptive reservoir regulation. A probabilistic analysis further quantifies the influence of synoptic drivers on anomalies, for example, a westward extension of the western North Pacific Subtropical High, reaching as far as Taiwan, increases West‐type frequency by ∼23%, while a northward‐displaced, intensified East Asian jet at 200 hPa over northern China enhances occurrence by ∼72%.
Authors
- Wenpeng Zhao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4850-2291)
- Yan Xu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0379-8866)
- Hongyuan Fang
- Abhishek
- Jian Zhang
- Lingjie Li
- Xiao Liu
- Kexin Liu
- Shuping Ma
Institutions
- China Meteorological Administration (CN)
- Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee (IN)
- National University of Singapore (SG)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- Hebei Meteorological Bureau (CN)
- Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute (CN)
- Guangzhou Urban Planning Survey & Design Institute (CN)
- Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CN)
- Yangzhou University (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Published
- 2026-01-19
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl120098
- Primary Topic
- Climate variability and models
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00