Strong Progenitor Age Bias in Supernova Cosmology and Alignment with DESI BAO

Supernova (SN) cosmology is based on the assumption that the luminosity of type Ia SNe, after the luminosity standardization process, remains invariant with progenitor age. However, our comprehensive age measurements of SN host galaxies reveal a significant (5.5σ) correlation between standardized SN luminosity and progenitor age, which is expected to introduce a serious systematic bias with redshift in SN cosmology. After correcting for this age bias with redshift, the SN dataset aligns more closely with the recent DESI BAO result, bringing the updated ’standard candle’ (SNe) into concordance with the ’standard ruler’ (BAO). When the three cosmological probes (SNe, BAO, CMB) are combined, we find a strong (∼9σ) discordance with the ΛCDM model, suggesting a time-varying dark energy equation of state in a currently non-accelerating universe.

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Publication Details

Journal
Universe
Published
2026-01-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/universe12010022
Primary Topic
Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Strong Progenitor Age Bias in Supernova Cosmology and Alignment with DESI BAO

Chul‐Woon Chung, Junhyuk Son, Seunghyun Park, Young-Wook Lee et al.
Universe
Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
article

Strong Progenitor Age Bias in Supernova Cosmology and Alignment with DESI BAO

Chul‐Woon Chung, Junhyuk Son, Seunghyun Park, Young-Wook Lee, Hyejeon Cho
article en

Abstract

Supernova (SN) cosmology is based on the assumption that the luminosity of type Ia SNe, after the luminosity standardization process, remains invariant with progenitor age. However, our comprehensive age measurements of SN host galaxies reveal a significant (5.5σ) correlation between standardized SN luminosity and progenitor age, which is expected to introduce a serious systematic bias with redshift in SN cosmology. After correcting for this age bias with redshift, the SN dataset aligns more closely with the recent DESI BAO result, bringing the updated ’standard candle’ (SNe) into concordance with the ’standard ruler’ (BAO). When the three cosmological probes (SNe, BAO, CMB) are combined, we find a strong (∼9σ) discordance with the ΛCDM model, suggesting a time-varying dark energy equation of state in a currently non-accelerating universe.

UniverseVol. 12(1)
Yonsei University (KR)
National Research Foundation, National Research Foundation of Korea
Openalex Percentile: Top 84%
Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
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Strong Progenitor Age Bias in Supernova Cosmology and Alignment with DESI BAO — Chul‐Woon Chung, Junhyuk Son, et al. · Universe (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS