Multi-Endpoint Semisupervised Learning Identifies High-Priority Unregulated Disinfection Byproducts

Disinfection byproducts (DBPs) in drinking water pose significant health risks, while experimental toxicity data exist for fewer than one-third of them, limiting comprehensive risk assessment. Here, we develop a machine learning framework that integrates multiendpoint toxicity data with semisupervised learning to predict the toxicity of untested DBPs. We compiled four data sets encompassing cytotoxicity in CHO and HepG2 cells, developmental toxicity in zebrafish embryos, and genotoxicity in CHO cells, covering 227 DBPs with standardized endpoints (LC50, EC50). By unifying these data sets and incorporating endpoint-specific parameters (cell type, exposure duration), our model achieved robust predictive performance (R2 = 0.86, RMSE = 0.44), outperforming single-endpoint models (R2 = 0.41–0.73). To expand applicability, we implemented semisupervised learning with a hybrid acquisition function balancing structural similarity and prediction uncertainty, increasing coverage of structurally similar compounds by 18%. Predictions on untested DBPs revealed that several unregulated classes, particularly iodinated acetonitrile, halogenated diones, and halobenzoquinones, exhibit 2–10× higher toxicity than regulated trihalomethanes and haloacetic acids. Notably, haloacetonitriles dominate cytotoxicity and genotoxicity rankings, whereas halobenzoquinones show elevated developmental toxicity. This integrated framework, strengthened by external validation, provides a robust tool to prioritize toxic DBPs, guiding monitoring strategies and informing regulatory standards for safer drinking water.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Environmental Science & Technology Letters
Published
2026-01-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.estlett.5c01145
Primary Topic
Water Treatment and Disinfection
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Multi-Endpoint Semisupervised Learning Identifies High-Priority Unregulated Disinfection Byproducts

Tao Ye, Rabbi Sikder, Peng Gao
Environmental Science & Technology Letters
Water Treatment and Disinfection
article

Multi-Endpoint Semisupervised Learning Identifies High-Priority Unregulated Disinfection Byproducts

Tao Ye, Rabbi Sikder, Peng Gao
article en

Abstract

Disinfection byproducts (DBPs) in drinking water pose significant health risks, while experimental toxicity data exist for fewer than one-third of them, limiting comprehensive risk assessment. Here, we develop a machine learning framework that integrates multiendpoint toxicity data with semisupervised learning to predict the toxicity of untested DBPs. We compiled four data sets encompassing cytotoxicity in CHO and HepG2 cells, developmental toxicity in zebrafish embryos, and genotoxicity in CHO cells, covering 227 DBPs with standardized endpoints (LC50, EC50). By unifying these data sets and incorporating endpoint-specific parameters (cell type, exposure duration), our model achieved robust predictive performance (R2 = 0.86, RMSE = 0.44), outperforming single-endpoint models (R2 = 0.41–0.73). To expand applicability, we implemented semisupervised learning with a hybrid acquisition function balancing structural similarity and prediction uncertainty, increasing coverage of structurally similar compounds by 18%. Predictions on untested DBPs revealed that several unregulated classes, particularly iodinated acetonitrile, halogenated diones, and halobenzoquinones, exhibit 2–10× higher toxicity than regulated trihalomethanes and haloacetic acids. Notably, haloacetonitriles dominate cytotoxicity and genotoxicity rankings, whereas halobenzoquinones show elevated developmental toxicity. This integrated framework, strengthened by external validation, provides a robust tool to prioritize toxic DBPs, guiding monitoring strategies and informing regulatory standards for safer drinking water.

Environmental Science & Technology LettersVol. 13(2)
Stevens Institute of Technology (US), Harvard University (US), Center for Environmental Health (US)
Clean water and sanitation
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Water Treatment and Disinfection
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Multi-Endpoint Semisupervised Learning Identifies High-Priority Unregulated Disinfection Byproducts — Tao Ye, Rabbi Sikder, et al. · Environmental Science & Technology Letters (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS