A high-resolution daily CO₂ dataset for China (2016–2020)

High-resolution column-averaged dry-air CO₂ mole fraction (XCO₂) data are essential for characterizing carbon sources and sinks, advancing carbon cycle research, and supporting climate policy goals such as carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. However, current satellite retrievals are often spatially fragmented and temporally discontinuous due to cloud cover and aerosol interference. To address these limitations, this study utilizes an XGBoost model optimized via Bayesian optimization (XGBoost-BO) to construct a robust mapping relationship between atmospheric XCO₂ concentrations and multi-source auxiliary parameters. Crucially, the incorporation of the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) methodology enhances model interpretability, ensuring that the reconstruction captures physically meaningful spatiotemporal dynamics across China. The reconstructed XCO₂ dataset exhibits high consistency with OCO-2 satellite observations, achieving a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.98, a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.58 ppm, and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.07%. The model's reliability is further validated against ground-based TCCON measurements in China, achieving an R² of 0.92 (RMSE = 1.16 ppm, MAPE = 0.2%) at the Hefei site and an R² of 0.70 (RMSE = 2.00 ppm, MAPE = 0.4%) at the Xianghe site.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Data
Published
2026-01-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-026-06569-w
Primary Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Type
article
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article

A high-resolution daily CO₂ dataset for China (2016–2020)

Aixia Yang, Zhengwu Yuan, Yang Liu
Scientific Data
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
article

A high-resolution daily CO₂ dataset for China (2016–2020)

Aixia Yang, Zhengwu Yuan, Yang Liu
article en

Abstract

High-resolution column-averaged dry-air CO₂ mole fraction (XCO₂) data are essential for characterizing carbon sources and sinks, advancing carbon cycle research, and supporting climate policy goals such as carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. However, current satellite retrievals are often spatially fragmented and temporally discontinuous due to cloud cover and aerosol interference. To address these limitations, this study utilizes an XGBoost model optimized via Bayesian optimization (XGBoost-BO) to construct a robust mapping relationship between atmospheric XCO₂ concentrations and multi-source auxiliary parameters. Crucially, the incorporation of the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) methodology enhances model interpretability, ensuring that the reconstruction captures physically meaningful spatiotemporal dynamics across China. The reconstructed XCO₂ dataset exhibits high consistency with OCO-2 satellite observations, achieving a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.98, a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.58 ppm, and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.07%. The model's reliability is further validated against ground-based TCCON measurements in China, achieving an R² of 0.92 (RMSE = 1.16 ppm, MAPE = 0.2%) at the Hefei site and an R² of 0.70 (RMSE = 2.00 ppm, MAPE = 0.4%) at the Xianghe site.

Scientific DataVol. 13(1)
Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Aerospace Information Research Institute (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
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A high-resolution daily CO₂ dataset for China (2016–2020) — Aixia Yang, Zhengwu Yuan, et al. · Scientific Data (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS