Evaluating New Zealand’s building risk to fluvial and pluvial flooding
Flooding from fluvial and pluvial sources pose a significant and growing risk to buildings in New Zealand, yet national-scale assessments of direct economic loss are limited. This study addresses that gap by applying an end-to-end workflow that integrates state-of-the-art hydraulic modelling with a modular flood risk analysis framework, enabling consistent expected annual damage (EAD) calculation at the building scale and enumeration at different jurisdictional levels. National EAD of NZD 190 million was estimated, with Canterbury and Waikato regions contributing 35% of this total. Residential and appurtenant buildings account for the majority (71%) of national EAD. These findings provide the first comprehensive baseline for direct building economic flood risk in New Zealand, and advances that availability of flood risk models for location-based risk mitigation strategies.
Authors
- Conrad Zorn (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3101-1004)
- Finn Scheele (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4542-7887)
- Joë Pelmard (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4310-3902)
- Ryan Paulik (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1147-6816)
- Cyprien Bosserelle (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8756-5247)
- Trevor Carey‐Smith (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9783-1430)
- Alice Harang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5906-213X)
- Rose A. Pearson (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4700-2113)
- Luisa Hosse (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5198-8181)
- Liam Foster
- Emily M. Lane
- John Powell
- Liam Wotherspoon
Institutions
- Statistics New Zealand (NZ)
- University of Auckland (NZ)
- New Zealand Brain Research Institute (NZ)
- Education New Zealand (NZ)
- Christchurch Clinical Studies Trust (NZ)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Discover Hazards
- Published
- 2026-01-15
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1007/s44475-026-00010-x
- Primary Topic
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00