Evaluating New Zealand’s building risk to fluvial and pluvial flooding

Flooding from fluvial and pluvial sources pose a significant and growing risk to buildings in New Zealand, yet national-scale assessments of direct economic loss are limited. This study addresses that gap by applying an end-to-end workflow that integrates state-of-the-art hydraulic modelling with a modular flood risk analysis framework, enabling consistent expected annual damage (EAD) calculation at the building scale and enumeration at different jurisdictional levels. National EAD of NZD 190 million was estimated, with Canterbury and Waikato regions contributing 35% of this total. Residential and appurtenant buildings account for the majority (71%) of national EAD. These findings provide the first comprehensive baseline for direct building economic flood risk in New Zealand, and advances that availability of flood risk models for location-based risk mitigation strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Discover Hazards
Published
2026-01-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s44475-026-00010-x
Primary Topic
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Evaluating New Zealand’s building risk to fluvial and pluvial flooding

Conrad Zorn, Finn Scheele, Joë Pelmard, Ryan Paulik et al.
Discover Hazards
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
article

Evaluating New Zealand’s building risk to fluvial and pluvial flooding

Conrad Zorn, Finn Scheele, Joë Pelmard, Ryan Paulik, Cyprien Bosserelle, Trevor Carey‐Smith, Alice Harang, Rose A. Pearson, Luisa Hosse, Liam Foster, Emily M. Lane, John Powell, Liam Wotherspoon
article en

Abstract

Flooding from fluvial and pluvial sources pose a significant and growing risk to buildings in New Zealand, yet national-scale assessments of direct economic loss are limited. This study addresses that gap by applying an end-to-end workflow that integrates state-of-the-art hydraulic modelling with a modular flood risk analysis framework, enabling consistent expected annual damage (EAD) calculation at the building scale and enumeration at different jurisdictional levels. National EAD of NZD 190 million was estimated, with Canterbury and Waikato regions contributing 35% of this total. Residential and appurtenant buildings account for the majority (71%) of national EAD. These findings provide the first comprehensive baseline for direct building economic flood risk in New Zealand, and advances that availability of flood risk models for location-based risk mitigation strategies.

Discover HazardsVol. 2(1)
Statistics New Zealand (NZ), University of Auckland (NZ), New Zealand Brain Research Institute (NZ), Education New Zealand (NZ), Christchurch Clinical Studies Trust (NZ)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
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Evaluating New Zealand’s building risk to fluvial and pluvial flooding — Conrad Zorn, Finn Scheele, et al. · Discover Hazards (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS