Towards optimized AI strategies for cryptocurrency trading

This thesis investigates the application of advanced AI techniques, specifically Double Deep Q-Networks, for developing optimized cryptocurrency trading strategies. We explore the efficacy of two distinct neural network architectures as Q-function approximators: a novel time-series model, TimesNet, and a conventional 1D CNN. The study employs historical price data (OHLCV) for Bitcoin and Ethereum, evaluating performance with both a basic feature set and an extended set incorporating technical indicators and blockchain-specific metrics. Our experiments demonstrate that DDQN agents, particularly those leveraging the TimesNet architecture, can learn complex trading behaviors and achieve significant outperformance compared to traditional Buy & Hold benchmarks and CNN-based agents across diverse market conditions. The research highlights the potential of sophisticated temporal modeling and reinforcement learning in navigating the volatile cryptocurrency landscape, while also underscoring the nuanced impact of feature engineering on strategy performance across different market regimes and assets.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zürcher Hochschule für Angewandte Wissenschaften digital collection (Zurich University of Applied Sciences)
Published
2025-06-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.21256/zhaw-34984
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Towards optimized AI strategies for cryptocurrency trading

Mikail Memis, Trojan Veseli
Zürcher Hochschule für Angewandte Wissenschaften digital collection (Zurich University of Applied Sciences)
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Towards optimized AI strategies for cryptocurrency trading

Mikail Memis, Trojan Veseli
article en

Abstract

This thesis investigates the application of advanced AI techniques, specifically Double Deep Q-Networks, for developing optimized cryptocurrency trading strategies. We explore the efficacy of two distinct neural network architectures as Q-function approximators: a novel time-series model, TimesNet, and a conventional 1D CNN. The study employs historical price data (OHLCV) for Bitcoin and Ethereum, evaluating performance with both a basic feature set and an extended set incorporating technical indicators and blockchain-specific metrics. Our experiments demonstrate that DDQN agents, particularly those leveraging the TimesNet architecture, can learn complex trading behaviors and achieve significant outperformance compared to traditional Buy & Hold benchmarks and CNN-based agents across diverse market conditions. The research highlights the potential of sophisticated temporal modeling and reinforcement learning in navigating the volatile cryptocurrency landscape, while also underscoring the nuanced impact of feature engineering on strategy performance across different market regimes and assets.

Zürcher Hochschule für Angewandte Wissenschaften digital collection (Zurich University of Applied Sciences)
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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Towards optimized AI strategies for cryptocurrency trading — Mikail Memis, Trojan Veseli · Zürcher Hochschule für Angewandte Wissenschaften digital collection (Zurich University of Applied Sciences) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS