Ocean Eddies Lower the Global‐Mean, Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones in a One‐Year Global, Coupled Simulation

Abstract We quantify the impact of ocean eddies on the global‐mean tropical‐cyclone intensity in a 1‐year simulation run with a coupled atmosphere‐ocean model with quite‐realistic seasonal climatology that resolves both Tropical cyclones (TCs) and ocean eddies. We find a significantly lower global‐mean intensity and intensification rate for the subset of TCs that spend more time over cold‐core eddies than warm‐core eddies. While not statistically significant, we also find that TCs that encounter more warm than cold‐core eddies display a higher global‐mean intensity and intensification rate. The differing impact of warm‐core and cold‐core ocean eddies are consistent with coherent differences in sea‐surface cooling prior to peak intensity. Our results demonstrate that ocean eddies can have a statistically significant impact on the global‐mean intensity, suggesting that resolving ocean eddies does matter for global TC statistics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-01-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl116072
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Ocean Eddies Lower the Global‐Mean, Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones in a One‐Year Global, Coupled Simulation

Jochem Marotzke, Nils Brüggemann, Arjun Unnithan Kumar
Geophysical Research Letters
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
article

Ocean Eddies Lower the Global‐Mean, Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones in a One‐Year Global, Coupled Simulation

Jochem Marotzke, Nils Brüggemann, Arjun Unnithan Kumar
article en

Abstract

Abstract We quantify the impact of ocean eddies on the global‐mean tropical‐cyclone intensity in a 1‐year simulation run with a coupled atmosphere‐ocean model with quite‐realistic seasonal climatology that resolves both Tropical cyclones (TCs) and ocean eddies. We find a significantly lower global‐mean intensity and intensification rate for the subset of TCs that spend more time over cold‐core eddies than warm‐core eddies. While not statistically significant, we also find that TCs that encounter more warm than cold‐core eddies display a higher global‐mean intensity and intensification rate. The differing impact of warm‐core and cold‐core ocean eddies are consistent with coherent differences in sea‐surface cooling prior to peak intensity. Our results demonstrate that ocean eddies can have a statistically significant impact on the global‐mean intensity, suggesting that resolving ocean eddies does matter for global TC statistics.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(2)
Universität Hamburg (DE), Hamburg Institute of International Economics (DE), Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (DE)
Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
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