Market Liquidity and Bond Prices in a Small Open Economy

ABSTRACT Investors may apply a liquidity premium to assets that are easy and cheap to trade, especially in times of stress. This paper tests for a causal relationship from market liquidity to prices in the government bond market for a small open economy (Australia). To identify this effect, I use a source of exogenous variation in liquidity that is driven by whether a particular bond is used to compute settlement prices for Australian interest rate futures contracts (“basket status”). Despite a strong link between basket status and market liquidity, I do not find clear evidence that higher market liquidity affects Australian government bond prices.

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Publication Details

Journal
Financial Review
Published
2026-01-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/fire.70047
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Market Liquidity and Bond Prices in a Small Open Economy

James Brugler
Financial Review
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Market Liquidity and Bond Prices in a Small Open Economy

James Brugler
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Investors may apply a liquidity premium to assets that are easy and cheap to trade, especially in times of stress. This paper tests for a causal relationship from market liquidity to prices in the government bond market for a small open economy (Australia). To identify this effect, I use a source of exogenous variation in liquidity that is driven by whether a particular bond is used to compute settlement prices for Australian interest rate futures contracts (“basket status”). Despite a strong link between basket status and market liquidity, I do not find clear evidence that higher market liquidity affects Australian government bond prices.

Financial Review
The University of Melbourne (AU)
Partnerships for the goals
Openalex Percentile: Top 89%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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