In Silico Proof of Concept: Conditional Deep Learning-Based Prediction of Short Mitochondrial DNA Fragments in Archosaurs

This study presents an in silico proof of concept exploring whether deep learning models can perform conditional mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) sequence prediction across species boundaries. A CNN–BiLSTM model was trained under a leave-one-species-out (LOSO) scheme on complete mitochondrial genomes from 21 vertebrate species, primarily archosaurs. Model behavior was evaluated through multiple complementary tests. Under context-conditioned settings, the model performed next-nucleotide prediction using overlapping 200 bp windows to assemble contiguous 2000 bp fragments for held-out species; the resulting high token-level accuracy (>99%) under teacher forcing is reported as a diagnostic of conditional modeling capacity. To assess leakage-free performance, a two-flank masked-span imputation task was conducted as the primary evaluation, requiring free-running reconstruction of 500 bp interior spans using only distal flanking context; in this setting, the model consistently outperformed nearest-neighbor and demonstrated competitive performance relative to flank-copy baselines. Additional robustness analyses examined sensitivity to window placement, genomic region (coding versus D-loop), and random initialization. Biological plausibility was further assessed by comparing predicted fragments to reconstructed ancestral sequences and against composition-matched null models, where observed identities significantly exceeded null expectations. Using the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) BLAST web interface, BLASTn species identification was performed solely as a biological plausibility check, recovering the correct species as the top hit in all cases. Although limited by dataset size and the absence of ancient DNA damage modeling, these results demonstrate the feasibility of conditional mtDNA sequence prediction as an initial step toward more advanced generative and evolutionary modeling frameworks.

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Publication Details

Journal
AI
Published
2026-01-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/ai7010027
Primary Topic
Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
Type
article
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article

In Silico Proof of Concept: Conditional Deep Learning-Based Prediction of Short Mitochondrial DNA Fragments in Archosaurs

Ioannis Kalatzis, Dimitris Glotsos, Dimitris Angelakis, Spiros Kostopoulos et al.
AI
Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
article

In Silico Proof of Concept: Conditional Deep Learning-Based Prediction of Short Mitochondrial DNA Fragments in Archosaurs

Ioannis Kalatzis, Dimitris Glotsos, Dimitris Angelakis, Spiros Kostopoulos, Emmanouil Athanasiadis, D. Cavouras, Pantelis A. Asvestas
article en

Abstract

This study presents an in silico proof of concept exploring whether deep learning models can perform conditional mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) sequence prediction across species boundaries. A CNN–BiLSTM model was trained under a leave-one-species-out (LOSO) scheme on complete mitochondrial genomes from 21 vertebrate species, primarily archosaurs. Model behavior was evaluated through multiple complementary tests. Under context-conditioned settings, the model performed next-nucleotide prediction using overlapping 200 bp windows to assemble contiguous 2000 bp fragments for held-out species; the resulting high token-level accuracy (>99%) under teacher forcing is reported as a diagnostic of conditional modeling capacity. To assess leakage-free performance, a two-flank masked-span imputation task was conducted as the primary evaluation, requiring free-running reconstruction of 500 bp interior spans using only distal flanking context; in this setting, the model consistently outperformed nearest-neighbor and demonstrated competitive performance relative to flank-copy baselines. Additional robustness analyses examined sensitivity to window placement, genomic region (coding versus D-loop), and random initialization. Biological plausibility was further assessed by comparing predicted fragments to reconstructed ancestral sequences and against composition-matched null models, where observed identities significantly exceeded null expectations. Using the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) BLAST web interface, BLASTn species identification was performed solely as a biological plausibility check, recovering the correct species as the top hit in all cases. Although limited by dataset size and the absence of ancient DNA damage modeling, these results demonstrate the feasibility of conditional mtDNA sequence prediction as an initial step toward more advanced generative and evolutionary modeling frameworks.

AIVol. 7(1)
University of West Attica (GR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
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