Drastic changes in tidal hydrodynamics following seagrass decline and their seasonal variations in a shallow lagoon

Over the past decades, seagrasses have drastically declined worldwide, reducing their capacity to regulate flow conditions. Intertidal species have been particularly affected by this decline, yet there is limited understanding of how intertidal seagrass loss influences hydrodynamics in shallow coastal lagoons. In this study, we use a 3D flow-vegetation model that accounts for vegetation effect on mean and turbulent flow, as well as flow-induced leaf bending, to investigate how tidal hydrodynamics respond to seasonal and multi-decadal changes in intertidal seagrass characteristics. The model is applied to the Arcachon lagoon (France), colonized by extensive Zostera noltei and Zostera marina meadows. This study reveals that a short-leaf and flexible seagrass species such as Zostera noltei can regulate tidal hydrodynamics throughout the lagoon due to the presence of broad and dense meadows on the tidal flats. In summer, seagrass decline leads to a significant increase in the 75th percentile in bottom flow velocities (+100 %) on the tidal flats, but to a decrease in the channels (−20 %). However, in winter, the response of tidal hydrodynamics to the reduction in seagrass coverage is far less pronounced. Comparison of simulated scenarios reveals that the multi-decadal decline of Zostera meadows with summer characteristics and the seasonal loss between summer and winter lead to modifications in tidal-flow parameters (current velocities, tidal asymmetry, high-tide water level) of a comparable magnitude. These changes in hydrodynamics likely enhance suspended sediment concentration, reducing light availability, contributing to further seagrass loss, and modifying sediment management for stakeholders due to enhanced siltation in channels. • Seagrass decline intensifies tidal flow conditions on the mudflats. • Large-scale effect of intertidal seagrasses on hydrodynamics in a shallow lagoon. • Comparable effects of seasonality and multi-decadal decline of Z.noltei on the flow.