Kelly trading when asset prices have jumps

Abstract If asset prices have no jumps it is known that the growth optimal Kelly strategy lies on the local efficient frontier, that is has maximal instantaneous Sharpe ratio. In this paper we show that, when asset prices have jumps, this property ceases to hold. However, the discrepancy is small for jumps with magnitude less than 25%. Our results further indicate that a Kelly trader fears market crashes but favors stock picking more than a maximal Sharpe trader. We also explain why Merton’s approach to jump modeling is not well suited to study the risk of bankruptcy associated with leverage.

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Publication Details

Journal
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Published
2026-01-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10203-025-00561-6
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Kelly trading when asset prices have jumps

Magnus Holm, Hans-Peter Bermin
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Kelly trading when asset prices have jumps

Magnus Holm, Hans-Peter Bermin
article en

Abstract

Abstract If asset prices have no jumps it is known that the growth optimal Kelly strategy lies on the local efficient frontier, that is has maximal instantaneous Sharpe ratio. In this paper we show that, when asset prices have jumps, this property ceases to hold. However, the discrepancy is small for jumps with magnitude less than 25%. Our results further indicate that a Kelly trader fears market crashes but favors stock picking more than a maximal Sharpe trader. We also explain why Merton’s approach to jump modeling is not well suited to study the risk of bankruptcy associated with leverage.

Decisions in Economics and Finance
Statistics Sweden (SE), Lund University (SE), Heritage Malta (MT)
Lunds Universitet
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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