P-170. Increasing dengue virus seroprevalence in a cohort of agricultural workers in rural southwest Guatemala

Abstract Background In 2024, Guatemala declared a national public health emergency for dengue virus (DENV) in response to a 5-fold increase in cases. As most infections are asymptomatic, it is difficult to estimate the true underlying seroprevalence of infection. Knowing individual- and population-level serostatus is critical for vaccine intervention efforts, as only those who are seropositive should receive the vaccine. Understanding characteristics of the seropositive population will help target disease-prevention interventions. Overall Seroprevalence of Primary DENV Infection by Year Methods We analyzed serum blood samples from the AGRI cohort, a longitudinal study of agricultural workers in southwest Guatemala, using an IgG-based multiplex bead assay conjugated to DENV1-4/ZIKV EDIII. A decision-tree algorithm classified infection as primary DENV if the mean fluorescence intensity (MFI) for a DENV serotype accounted for >33% of total MFI for all flaviviruses. We calculated annual population-level seroprevalence of primary DENV infection, adjusting for test sensitivity and specificity, and examined associations between seropositivity and demographic, occupational, and socioeconomic factors. Results Among 696 participants with at least one sample, primary DENV seroprevalence increased from 51% in 2020 to 63% in 2021 and 76% in 2022. There was a significant difference in primary DENV seropositivity among field foremen (92% seropositive, 8% seronegative, p< 0.01) vs other farm job types (approximately 70% seropositivity). No other significant associations were found. Conclusion We currently have an additional ∼7,000 samples collected through 2024 in laboratory analysis and will be incorporating geospatial data for spatial analysis. While specific risk factors remain unclear, our findings highlight increasing DENV seroprevalence in the population, underscoring the need for ongoing surveillance and targeted interventions. Disclosures Blair Weikel, MPH, Merck: Grant/Research Support Molly Lamb, PhD, Merck: Grant/Research Support Daniel Olson, MD, Fundacion para la Salud Integral de los Guatemaltecos: Board Member|Merck: Grant/Research Support|Roche Diagnostics: Grant/Research Support

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Publication Details

Journal
Open Forum Infectious Diseases
Published
2026-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofaf695.394
Primary Topic
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

P-170. Increasing dengue virus seroprevalence in a cohort of agricultural workers in rural southwest Guatemala

Blair W. Weikel, May Chu, Ross M. Kedl, Rosemary Rochford et al.
Open Forum Infectious Diseases
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
article

P-170. Increasing dengue virus seroprevalence in a cohort of agricultural workers in rural southwest Guatemala

Blair W. Weikel, May Chu, Ross M. Kedl, Rosemary Rochford, Prem Lakshmanane, Neudy Rojop, Mattie Cassaday, Molly Lamb, Julio del Cid-Villatoro, Cassandra Waltman, Claire Bradley, Daniel Vásquez, Daniel Olson, Chandler Bradley
article en

Abstract

Abstract Background In 2024, Guatemala declared a national public health emergency for dengue virus (DENV) in response to a 5-fold increase in cases. As most infections are asymptomatic, it is difficult to estimate the true underlying seroprevalence of infection. Knowing individual- and population-level serostatus is critical for vaccine intervention efforts, as only those who are seropositive should receive the vaccine. Understanding characteristics of the seropositive population will help target disease-prevention interventions. Overall Seroprevalence of Primary DENV Infection by Year Methods We analyzed serum blood samples from the AGRI cohort, a longitudinal study of agricultural workers in southwest Guatemala, using an IgG-based multiplex bead assay conjugated to DENV1-4/ZIKV EDIII. A decision-tree algorithm classified infection as primary DENV if the mean fluorescence intensity (MFI) for a DENV serotype accounted for >33% of total MFI for all flaviviruses. We calculated annual population-level seroprevalence of primary DENV infection, adjusting for test sensitivity and specificity, and examined associations between seropositivity and demographic, occupational, and socioeconomic factors. Results Among 696 participants with at least one sample, primary DENV seroprevalence increased from 51% in 2020 to 63% in 2021 and 76% in 2022. There was a significant difference in primary DENV seropositivity among field foremen (92% seropositive, 8% seronegative, p< 0.01) vs other farm job types (approximately 70% seropositivity). No other significant associations were found. Conclusion We currently have an additional ∼7,000 samples collected through 2024 in laboratory analysis and will be incorporating geospatial data for spatial analysis. While specific risk factors remain unclear, our findings highlight increasing DENV seroprevalence in the population, underscoring the need for ongoing surveillance and targeted interventions. Disclosures Blair Weikel, MPH, Merck: Grant/Research Support Molly Lamb, PhD, Merck: Grant/Research Support Daniel Olson, MD, Fundacion para la Salud Integral de los Guatemaltecos: Board Member|Merck: Grant/Research Support|Roche Diagnostics: Grant/Research Support

Open Forum Infectious DiseasesVol. 13(Supplement_1)
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US), Colorado School of Public Health (US), University of Colorado System (US), Fundación Pública Andaluza para la Gestión de la Investigación en Salud de Sevilla (ES), ProPacífico (CO), University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus (US), University of Colorado Denver (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
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