P-1598. Unseen but Present: Asymptomatic COVID-19 Cases and Air Travel to Hong Kong

Abstract Background The global spread of infectious diseases was significantly influenced by the dynamics of human movement patterns, particularly for highly transmissible infections such as the SARS-CoV-2 virus, which causes COVID-19. Asymptomatic COVID-19 cases did not exhibit symptoms prior to diagnosis, making them a potential challenge for containment. Understanding air travel patterns among asymptomatic individuals was crucial for controlling the spread of the virus, however, their contribution has been understudied. Methods Through a retrospective cross-sectional study, we analyzed 11,775 COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong. Log-binomial regression models were used to estimate the association between asymptomatic status and inbound air travel behavior 14 days prior to COVID-19 diagnosis. The median flight duration between asymptomatic and symptomatic cases was compared using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Results Approximately two-thirds of the COVID-19 cases with inbound air travel history 14 days prior to diagnosis were asymptomatic. We found a significant association between COVID-19 asymptomatic status and inbound air travel behavior, which was modified by cases’ occupation categories (p< 0.0001). The prevalence of inbound air travel was significantly higher among asymptomatic cases in airport or flight crew compared to symptomatic crew members (adjusted prevalence risk ratio: 10, 95% CI: 4-20), while the prevalence of inbound air travel in asymptomatic cases outside the airport or flight crew group was 1.14 times higher than symptomatic cases (95% CI: 1.12-1.16). The median flight duration of asymptomatic cases was 4.6 person-hours shorter compared to symptomatic counterparts (p< 0.01). Conclusion Asymptomatic COVID-19 cases indicated significantly higher prevalence of air travel within 14 days before diagnosis, suggesting potential under-detection during early travel restrictions. Asymptomatic airport and flight crew showed markedly higher travel prevalence than symptomatic counterparts, pointing to potential workplace transmission risks. These findings reveal limitations of symptom-based screening and highlight the need for proactive, symptom-independent public health strategies in future airborne disease outbreaks. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Open Forum Infectious Diseases
Published
2026-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofaf695.1777
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

P-1598. Unseen but Present: Asymptomatic COVID-19 Cases and Air Travel to Hong Kong

Weijun Yu, Dylan Ratnarajah
Open Forum Infectious Diseases
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

P-1598. Unseen but Present: Asymptomatic COVID-19 Cases and Air Travel to Hong Kong

Weijun Yu, Dylan Ratnarajah
article en

Abstract

Abstract Background The global spread of infectious diseases was significantly influenced by the dynamics of human movement patterns, particularly for highly transmissible infections such as the SARS-CoV-2 virus, which causes COVID-19. Asymptomatic COVID-19 cases did not exhibit symptoms prior to diagnosis, making them a potential challenge for containment. Understanding air travel patterns among asymptomatic individuals was crucial for controlling the spread of the virus, however, their contribution has been understudied. Methods Through a retrospective cross-sectional study, we analyzed 11,775 COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong. Log-binomial regression models were used to estimate the association between asymptomatic status and inbound air travel behavior 14 days prior to COVID-19 diagnosis. The median flight duration between asymptomatic and symptomatic cases was compared using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Results Approximately two-thirds of the COVID-19 cases with inbound air travel history 14 days prior to diagnosis were asymptomatic. We found a significant association between COVID-19 asymptomatic status and inbound air travel behavior, which was modified by cases’ occupation categories (p< 0.0001). The prevalence of inbound air travel was significantly higher among asymptomatic cases in airport or flight crew compared to symptomatic crew members (adjusted prevalence risk ratio: 10, 95% CI: 4-20), while the prevalence of inbound air travel in asymptomatic cases outside the airport or flight crew group was 1.14 times higher than symptomatic cases (95% CI: 1.12-1.16). The median flight duration of asymptomatic cases was 4.6 person-hours shorter compared to symptomatic counterparts (p< 0.01). Conclusion Asymptomatic COVID-19 cases indicated significantly higher prevalence of air travel within 14 days before diagnosis, suggesting potential under-detection during early travel restrictions. Asymptomatic airport and flight crew showed markedly higher travel prevalence than symptomatic counterparts, pointing to potential workplace transmission risks. These findings reveal limitations of symptom-based screening and highlight the need for proactive, symptom-independent public health strategies in future airborne disease outbreaks. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures

Open Forum Infectious DiseasesVol. 13(Supplement_1)
Georgetown University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.