Da Justiça Juvenil à Justiça Criminal: Raça e Perfis Psicossociais como Preditores

Various factors may affect the likelihood of individuals who commit offenses during adolescence continuing to offend into adulthood. This study aimed to: (1) Describe and compare recidivism rates among 350 adult men who had gone through the juvenile system in the countryside of São Paulo; (2) Evaluate the prediction of recidivism according to psychosocial profiles; (3) Assess the influence of race on recidivism. Official recidivism data from the sample were collected and analyzed using logistic regression analysis, revealing that a more markedly problematic psychosocial profile was associated with greater chances of recidivism, while being Black was linked to higher chances of criminal prosecution. This study highlights the importance of identifying which psychosocial profiles are associated with a higher likelihood of persistent offending to target more effective interventions. It also reveals the presence of racial bias in the Brazilian criminal justice system, indicating structural racism.