Improved air-sea CO <sub>2</sub> flux estimates from sailboat measurements

Despite their importance in the climate system, remote ocean regions and their ability to absorb anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) remain highly uncertain. To address this issue, citizen science initiatives, including sailboats, expand the observational network. Using observing system simulations and novel sailboat tracks, we demonstrate how integrating sailboat data improves estimates of ocean carbon uptake. While we underestimate the ocean carbon sink when mimicking real-world sampling, adding available sailboat data does not substantially improve reconstructions. Nevertheless, increased sampling reveals a stronger carbon sink, particularly between 40°S and 60°S. The improvement persists with hypothetical measurement uncertainties, but substantial differences arise depending on whether positive or negative biases are applied to the race track data. While we show that two additional circumnavigations already improve the ocean mean sink estimate, we further highlight the finding that the additional data remain insufficient to correct the overestimated CO<sub>2</sub> sink trend, calling for continuation of the ongoing data collection.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Advances
Published
2026-01-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adz1502
Primary Topic
Ocean Acidification Effects and Responses
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Improved air-sea CO 2 flux estimates from sailboat measurements

Jacqueline Behncke, Fatemeh Chegini, Tatiana Ilyina, Peter Landschützer
Science Advances
Ocean Acidification Effects and Responses
article

Improved air-sea CO 2 flux estimates from sailboat measurements

Jacqueline Behncke, Fatemeh Chegini, Tatiana Ilyina, Peter Landschützer
article en

Abstract

Despite their importance in the climate system, remote ocean regions and their ability to absorb anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) remain highly uncertain. To address this issue, citizen science initiatives, including sailboats, expand the observational network. Using observing system simulations and novel sailboat tracks, we demonstrate how integrating sailboat data improves estimates of ocean carbon uptake. While we underestimate the ocean carbon sink when mimicking real-world sampling, adding available sailboat data does not substantially improve reconstructions. Nevertheless, increased sampling reveals a stronger carbon sink, particularly between 40°S and 60°S. The improvement persists with hypothetical measurement uncertainties, but substantial differences arise depending on whether positive or negative biases are applied to the race track data. While we show that two additional circumnavigations already improve the ocean mean sink estimate, we further highlight the finding that the additional data remain insufficient to correct the overestimated CO<sub>2</sub> sink trend, calling for continuation of the ongoing data collection.

Science AdvancesVol. 12(2)
Flanders Marine Institute (BE), Universität Hamburg (DE), Max Planck Institute for Comparative and International Private Law (DE), Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon (DE), Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (DE)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 92%
Ocean Acidification Effects and Responses
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