Street vitality and traffic risk: a multiscale analysis of Barcelona and Warsaw

This study examines the relationship between street vitality and traffic crash risk in Barcelona and Warsaw using street-level spatial regression models and group-based temporal clustering. Street vitality, operationalised as functional density and computer-vision-derived streetscape safety scores, shows a positive association with crash frequency across the street network in both cities, supporting the hypothesis that lively streets increase exposure and possibilities for conflict. However, street vitality explains only part of this risk dynamic: street length remains the strongest predictor overall, while building density produces mixed effects. In hotspot models, street vitality effects weaken substantially; functional density becomes insignificant, and visual safety effects diminish, suggesting that once crash concentrations form, risk is shaped more by localised design and behavioural factors than by land-use intensity. These findings underscore the importance of combining system-wide and site-specific perspectives in street safety planning, highlighting the need for design interventions that reconcile lively public spaces with traffic safety.

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Publication Details

Journal
Accident Analysis & Prevention
Published
2026-01-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2026.108393
Primary Topic
Traffic and Road Safety
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Street vitality and traffic risk: a multiscale analysis of Barcelona and Warsaw

Aura-Luciana Istrate, Páraic Carroll, Tiago Tamagusko, Anastasiia Galaktionova
Accident Analysis & Prevention
Traffic and Road Safety
article

Street vitality and traffic risk: a multiscale analysis of Barcelona and Warsaw

Aura-Luciana Istrate, Páraic Carroll, Tiago Tamagusko, Anastasiia Galaktionova
article en

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between street vitality and traffic crash risk in Barcelona and Warsaw using street-level spatial regression models and group-based temporal clustering. Street vitality, operationalised as functional density and computer-vision-derived streetscape safety scores, shows a positive association with crash frequency across the street network in both cities, supporting the hypothesis that lively streets increase exposure and possibilities for conflict. However, street vitality explains only part of this risk dynamic: street length remains the strongest predictor overall, while building density produces mixed effects. In hotspot models, street vitality effects weaken substantially; functional density becomes insignificant, and visual safety effects diminish, suggesting that once crash concentrations form, risk is shaped more by localised design and behavioural factors than by land-use intensity. These findings underscore the importance of combining system-wide and site-specific perspectives in street safety planning, highlighting the need for design interventions that reconcile lively public spaces with traffic safety.

Accident Analysis & PreventionVol. 228
University College Dublin (IE), Faculty of Design (SI)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Traffic and Road Safety
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