Development of an Exploratory Simulation Tool: Using Predictive Decision Trees to Model Chemical Exposure Risks and Asthma-like Symptoms in Professional Cleaning Staff in Laboratory Environments

Exposure to chemical irritants in laboratory and medical environments poses significant health risks to workers, particularly in relation to asthma-like symptoms. Routine cleaning practices, which often involve the use of strong chemical agents to maintain hygienic settings, have been shown to contribute to respiratory issues. Laboratories, where chemicals such as hydrochloric acid and ammonia are frequently used, represent an underexplored context in the study of occupational asthma. While much of the research on chemical exposure has focused on industrial and high-risk occupations or large cohort populations, less attention has been given to the risks in laboratory and medical environments, particularly for professional cleaning staff. Given the growing reliance on cleaning agents to maintain sterile and safe workspaces in scientific research and healthcare facilities, this gap is concerning. This study developed an exploratory simulation tool, using a simulated cohort based on key demographic and exposure patterns from foundational research, to assess the impact of chemical exposure from cleaning products in laboratory environments. Four supervised machine learning models were applied to evaluate the relationship between chemical exposures and asthma-like symptoms: (1) Decision Trees, (2) Random Forest, (3) Gradient Boosting, and (4) XGBoost. High exposures to hydrochloric acid and ammonia were found to be significantly associated with asthma-like symptoms, and workplace type also played a critical role in determining asthma risk. This research provides a data-driven framework for assessing and predicting asthma-like symptoms in professional cleaning workers exposed to cleaning agents and highlights the potential for integrating predictive modeling into occupational health and safety monitoring. Future work should explore dose–response relationships and the temporal dynamics of chemical exposure to further refine these models and improve understanding of long-term health risks.