Human contributions to evapotranspiration mitigate swings in dry-to-wet year transitions

California's food and economic security depends on water availability, particularly under increasingly extreme climate scenarios. A key component of the water balance is evapotranspiration, the combination of soil and surface evaporation and plant transpiration. Evapotranspiration is influenced by natural drivers (e.g., climate, vegetation cover) and human intervention (e.g., irrigation, land management). Here, we analyze the transition between one of California's driest years (2022) to an exceptionally wet year (2023) to assess evapotranspiration responses to climate extremes. Despite increased precipitation, total statewide evapotranspiration changed less than 10%. In 2022, human contributions accounted for 30% of statewide evapotranspiration and 80% in managed lands. In 2023, natural evapotranspiration increased, and human contributions fell by 30%, yet still comprised nearly 50% of evapotranspiration in managed areas. Our findings underscore the enduring role of human activity on California's hydrology, even during wet years, and demonstrate a framework to separate natural and anthropogenic controls on evapotranspiration.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications Sustainability
Published
2026-01-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44458-025-00002-w
Primary Topic
Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Human contributions to evapotranspiration mitigate swings in dry-to-wet year transitions

Zoe Pierrat, Anna Boser, Rebecca Gustine, Sophie Ruehr et al.
Communications Sustainability
Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
article

Human contributions to evapotranspiration mitigate swings in dry-to-wet year transitions

Zoe Pierrat, Anna Boser, Rebecca Gustine, Sophie Ruehr, Christine M. Lee, Kerry Cawse-Nicholson, J. T. Reager
article en

Abstract

California's food and economic security depends on water availability, particularly under increasingly extreme climate scenarios. A key component of the water balance is evapotranspiration, the combination of soil and surface evaporation and plant transpiration. Evapotranspiration is influenced by natural drivers (e.g., climate, vegetation cover) and human intervention (e.g., irrigation, land management). Here, we analyze the transition between one of California's driest years (2022) to an exceptionally wet year (2023) to assess evapotranspiration responses to climate extremes. Despite increased precipitation, total statewide evapotranspiration changed less than 10%. In 2022, human contributions accounted for 30% of statewide evapotranspiration and 80% in managed lands. In 2023, natural evapotranspiration increased, and human contributions fell by 30%, yet still comprised nearly 50% of evapotranspiration in managed areas. Our findings underscore the enduring role of human activity on California's hydrology, even during wet years, and demonstrate a framework to separate natural and anthropogenic controls on evapotranspiration.

Communications SustainabilityVol. 1(1)
Jet Propulsion Laboratory (US), Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (US), University of California, Santa Barbara (US), Columbia University (US), University of California, Berkeley (US)
National Aeronautics and Space Administration, California Institute of Technology, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 95%
Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
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Human contributions to evapotranspiration mitigate swings in dry-to-wet year transitions — Zoe Pierrat, Anna Boser, et al. · Communications Sustainability (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS