Analysis of Variance in Runway Friction Measurements and Surface Life-Cycle: A Case Study of Four Australian Airports

Runway friction is a critical factor in aircraft safety, affecting braking performance during landing and take-off. This study evaluates friction measurement variability and runway life-cycle dynamics at four typical Australian airports, using GripTester data from calibration strips and operational runways. The results show that friction measurements are influenced by seasonal effects, random errors, and testing equipment tire wear, with greater variability at lower speed (65 km/h) than at higher speed (95 km/h). Analysis of runway friction decay indicates that friction reduction rates are higher in touchdown zones and decelerating rate gradually decrease as friction declines, while regular rubber removal significantly restores friction, sometimes exceeding post-construction levels. Current internationally recommended friction testing intervals may not adequately ensure safety, with a sufficient probability of friction dropping below maintenance planning levels between tests. Based on observed reduction rates, updated intervals of approximately 3000 to 4000 landings are proposed to achieve 90% confidence in maintaining safe friction levels. The findings provide practical guidance for friction management and maintenance scheduling as part of an optimized airport pavement management system.