Agency Under Prediction: A Review of <i>The Human Test</i>

ABSTRACT We live in an era where predictive models, large‐scale behavioral data, and AI systems increasingly forecast human choices at scale. Yet foundational questions about human agency, freedom, and consciousness remain unsettled. The Human Test by Ron Folman timely enters this debate. The book proposes a practical test of human predictability, arguing that high forecastability would challenge ordinary notions of free will and reframe our understanding of full human “life” and some sort of mental “death” as states defined by predictability. Triggered by a seemingly simple question “are they alive?” directed to the cold atoms in his lab, the author seeks answers regarding us, humans, consisting of a large set of interacting atoms. In this review, I first motivate why such inquiries are relevant in today's AI‐ and data‐driven world. I then offer a brief description of the book's central ambition and main takeaways. Furthermore, I develop a constructive critique that clarifies where the book's framing could be sharpened. I close by suggesting a slight refinement of the central thesis that preserves the book's empirical program, as well as a final appraisal.

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Publication Details

Journal
Natural Sciences
Published
2026-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/ntls.70042
Primary Topic
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Agency Under Prediction: A Review of The Human Test

Eliahu Cohen
Natural Sciences
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
article

Agency Under Prediction: A Review of The Human Test

Eliahu Cohen
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT We live in an era where predictive models, large‐scale behavioral data, and AI systems increasingly forecast human choices at scale. Yet foundational questions about human agency, freedom, and consciousness remain unsettled. The Human Test by Ron Folman timely enters this debate. The book proposes a practical test of human predictability, arguing that high forecastability would challenge ordinary notions of free will and reframe our understanding of full human “life” and some sort of mental “death” as states defined by predictability. Triggered by a seemingly simple question “are they alive?” directed to the cold atoms in his lab, the author seeks answers regarding us, humans, consisting of a large set of interacting atoms. In this review, I first motivate why such inquiries are relevant in today's AI‐ and data‐driven world. I then offer a brief description of the book's central ambition and main takeaways. Furthermore, I develop a constructive critique that clarifies where the book's framing could be sharpened. I close by suggesting a slight refinement of the central thesis that preserves the book's empirical program, as well as a final appraisal.

Natural SciencesVol. 6(1)
Bar-Ilan University (IL)
European Commission, HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
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