On joint densities involving the number of claims until ruin, assuming dependent claim sizes and inter-claim times

Abstract We employ an appropriate change of measure technique to offer a general result connecting a general form of the Gerber–Shiu function with the distribution of the deficit at ruin under the new (exponentially tilted) measure. Exploiting this result, we extract closed-form formulae for special forms of the Gerber–Shiu function assuming two cases of bivariate distributions that describe the dependence structure between claim sizes and inter-claim times. More specifically, initially, we employ the Downton–Moran bivariate exponential distribution, and we offer explicit formulae for cases of the Gerber–Shiu functions that include the time and the number of claims until ruin. In addition, we derive a closed formula for the defective discounted joint density of the number of claims until ruin, the deficit at ruin, and the time until ruin. The same is achieved for the joint density of the number of claims and the deficit at ruin. We further generalize these results by assuming that the inter-claim times and the claim sizes follow a Kibble–Moran bivariate Erlang distribution. Finally, we offer numerical examples in order to illustrate our main results.

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Publication Details

Journal
Annals of Actuarial Science
Published
2026-01-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/s1748499525100213
Primary Topic
Probability and Risk Models
Type
article
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article

On joint densities involving the number of claims until ruin, assuming dependent claim sizes and inter-claim times

Michael V. Boutsikas, David-Jacob Economides
Annals of Actuarial Science
Probability and Risk Models
article

On joint densities involving the number of claims until ruin, assuming dependent claim sizes and inter-claim times

Michael V. Boutsikas, David-Jacob Economides
article en

Abstract

Abstract We employ an appropriate change of measure technique to offer a general result connecting a general form of the Gerber–Shiu function with the distribution of the deficit at ruin under the new (exponentially tilted) measure. Exploiting this result, we extract closed-form formulae for special forms of the Gerber–Shiu function assuming two cases of bivariate distributions that describe the dependence structure between claim sizes and inter-claim times. More specifically, initially, we employ the Downton–Moran bivariate exponential distribution, and we offer explicit formulae for cases of the Gerber–Shiu functions that include the time and the number of claims until ruin. In addition, we derive a closed formula for the defective discounted joint density of the number of claims until ruin, the deficit at ruin, and the time until ruin. The same is achieved for the joint density of the number of claims and the deficit at ruin. We further generalize these results by assuming that the inter-claim times and the claim sizes follow a Kibble–Moran bivariate Erlang distribution. Finally, we offer numerical examples in order to illustrate our main results.

Annals of Actuarial Science
University of Piraeus (GR)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Probability and Risk Models
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