Insights into Clustering Patterns in Romania’s 2020–2024 Measles Cases
<b>Background and objectives</b>: During an outbreak, measles cases tend to aggregate into increasingly bigger clusters that show specific characteristics, different from the non-cluster cases. As the measles threat continues throughout Europe in 2025 with a high notification rate in Romania as well, exploring how clustering affects the disease propagation can provide additional insights into how to improve measles surveillance and control. <b>Methods</b>: National measles cases from 2020 to 2024 have been split into cluster (at least three related cases) and non-cluster-related cases and analyzed comparatively based on vaccination status, disease-related data (hospitalization) and patient-related data (age, location). Large outbreaks with at least 150 cases, allowing for more comprehensive R<sub>0</sub> analysis, have been described and the basic reproduction numbers computed for each of them. <b>Results</b>: There are statistically significant differences in vaccination status, age, and hospital stay between outbreak and non-outbreak cases. Large outbreaks (≥150 cases) show a high degree of variability, with R<sub>0</sub> values varying from as low to 1 to as high as 3.92, indicating limited measles transmission control. <b>Conclusions</b>: The findings in this research highlight the critical impact of clustering on measles transmission dynamics during outbreaks. Significant differences in vaccination status, age, and hospitalization rates between cluster and non-cluster cases underscore the importance of targeted surveillance and intervention strategies while the wide range of R<sub>0</sub> values observed in large outbreaks points to inconsistent control measures and emphasizes the need for strengthened vaccination campaigns and improved outbreak response protocols to better contain measles spread.
Authors
- Valerian-Ionuț Stoian (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4739-9197)
- Liliana Baroiu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7602-8435)
- Mihaela Debita (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8523-6319)
- Madălina Nicoleta Matei (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8482-2260)
- Alina Pleșea-Condratovici (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2710-7284)
- Iulia Draghiev
- Valerii Luțenco (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-6620-7851)
- Mariana Daniela Ignat
- Mihaela Patriciu
- Carmina Liana Mușat
Institutions
- "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati (RO)
- National Institute of Public Health (LA)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Epidemiologia
- Published
- 2026-01-07
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/epidemiologia7010011
- Primary Topic
- Virology and Viral Diseases
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Universitatea 'Dunărea de Jos' Galați