Insights into Clustering Patterns in Romania’s 2020–2024 Measles Cases

<b>Background and objectives</b>: During an outbreak, measles cases tend to aggregate into increasingly bigger clusters that show specific characteristics, different from the non-cluster cases. As the measles threat continues throughout Europe in 2025 with a high notification rate in Romania as well, exploring how clustering affects the disease propagation can provide additional insights into how to improve measles surveillance and control. <b>Methods</b>: National measles cases from 2020 to 2024 have been split into cluster (at least three related cases) and non-cluster-related cases and analyzed comparatively based on vaccination status, disease-related data (hospitalization) and patient-related data (age, location). Large outbreaks with at least 150 cases, allowing for more comprehensive R<sub>0</sub> analysis, have been described and the basic reproduction numbers computed for each of them. <b>Results</b>: There are statistically significant differences in vaccination status, age, and hospital stay between outbreak and non-outbreak cases. Large outbreaks (≥150 cases) show a high degree of variability, with R<sub>0</sub> values varying from as low to 1 to as high as 3.92, indicating limited measles transmission control. <b>Conclusions</b>: The findings in this research highlight the critical impact of clustering on measles transmission dynamics during outbreaks. Significant differences in vaccination status, age, and hospitalization rates between cluster and non-cluster cases underscore the importance of targeted surveillance and intervention strategies while the wide range of R<sub>0</sub> values observed in large outbreaks points to inconsistent control measures and emphasizes the need for strengthened vaccination campaigns and improved outbreak response protocols to better contain measles spread.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Epidemiologia
Published
2026-01-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/epidemiologia7010011
Primary Topic
Virology and Viral Diseases
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

Funders

Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Insights into Clustering Patterns in Romania’s 2020–2024 Measles Cases

Valerian-Ionuț Stoian, Liliana Baroiu, Mihaela Debita, Madălina Nicoleta Matei et al.
Epidemiologia
Virology and Viral Diseases
article

Insights into Clustering Patterns in Romania’s 2020–2024 Measles Cases

Valerian-Ionuț Stoian, Liliana Baroiu, Mihaela Debita, Madălina Nicoleta Matei, Alina Pleșea-Condratovici, Iulia Draghiev, Valerii Luțenco, Mariana Daniela Ignat, Mihaela Patriciu, Carmina Liana Mușat
article en

Abstract

<b>Background and objectives</b>: During an outbreak, measles cases tend to aggregate into increasingly bigger clusters that show specific characteristics, different from the non-cluster cases. As the measles threat continues throughout Europe in 2025 with a high notification rate in Romania as well, exploring how clustering affects the disease propagation can provide additional insights into how to improve measles surveillance and control. <b>Methods</b>: National measles cases from 2020 to 2024 have been split into cluster (at least three related cases) and non-cluster-related cases and analyzed comparatively based on vaccination status, disease-related data (hospitalization) and patient-related data (age, location). Large outbreaks with at least 150 cases, allowing for more comprehensive R<sub>0</sub> analysis, have been described and the basic reproduction numbers computed for each of them. <b>Results</b>: There are statistically significant differences in vaccination status, age, and hospital stay between outbreak and non-outbreak cases. Large outbreaks (≥150 cases) show a high degree of variability, with R<sub>0</sub> values varying from as low to 1 to as high as 3.92, indicating limited measles transmission control. <b>Conclusions</b>: The findings in this research highlight the critical impact of clustering on measles transmission dynamics during outbreaks. Significant differences in vaccination status, age, and hospitalization rates between cluster and non-cluster cases underscore the importance of targeted surveillance and intervention strategies while the wide range of R<sub>0</sub> values observed in large outbreaks points to inconsistent control measures and emphasizes the need for strengthened vaccination campaigns and improved outbreak response protocols to better contain measles spread.

EpidemiologiaVol. 7(1)
"Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati (RO), National Institute of Public Health (LA)
Universitatea 'Dunărea de Jos' Galați
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 95%
Virology and Viral Diseases
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.