ASSESSMENT OF INTERVENTION STRATEGIES TO MITIGATE THE IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION ON ASTHMA PATIENTS USING MATHEMATICAL MODELLING APPROACH

Asthma is a long-term respiratory illness marked by airway inflammation and obstruction, and its severity is often worsened by environmental pollutants such as particulate matter, tobacco smoke. In this study, a deterministic compartmental model was formulated using ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to examine and predict the progression and management of asthma in environments affected by pollution. The model categorizes the population into several health and exposure groups: susceptible (S), exposed (E), infected (I)—with subcategories for mild, moderate, and chronic conditions—recovered (R), and an environmental pollution class (P). The framework also integrates intervention strategies such as health education, pollution control policies, and medical treatment to evaluate their effectiveness in limiting disease spread. The basic reproduction number (Ro) was computed to identify the conditions under which asthma either persists or can be eliminated. The results demonstrated that elevated pollution levels, higher exposure rates, and inadequate interventions significantly increase asthma incidence.

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Publication Details

Journal
Afrischolar Discovery
Published
2025-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.60787/jnamp.vol71no.610
Primary Topic
Air Quality and Health Impacts
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

ASSESSMENT OF INTERVENTION STRATEGIES TO MITIGATE THE IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION ON ASTHMA PATIENTS USING MATHEMATICAL MODELLING APPROACH

S.L. Shehu, A.R Balogun, K. H. Oduwole, I.G. Bassi
Afrischolar Discovery
Air Quality and Health Impacts
article

ASSESSMENT OF INTERVENTION STRATEGIES TO MITIGATE THE IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION ON ASTHMA PATIENTS USING MATHEMATICAL MODELLING APPROACH

S.L. Shehu, A.R Balogun, K. H. Oduwole, I.G. Bassi
article en

Abstract

Asthma is a long-term respiratory illness marked by airway inflammation and obstruction, and its severity is often worsened by environmental pollutants such as particulate matter, tobacco smoke. In this study, a deterministic compartmental model was formulated using ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to examine and predict the progression and management of asthma in environments affected by pollution. The model categorizes the population into several health and exposure groups: susceptible (S), exposed (E), infected (I)—with subcategories for mild, moderate, and chronic conditions—recovered (R), and an environmental pollution class (P). The framework also integrates intervention strategies such as health education, pollution control policies, and medical treatment to evaluate their effectiveness in limiting disease spread. The basic reproduction number (Ro) was computed to identify the conditions under which asthma either persists or can be eliminated. The results demonstrated that elevated pollution levels, higher exposure rates, and inadequate interventions significantly increase asthma incidence.

Afrischolar Discovery
Nasarawa State University (NG)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 31%
Air Quality and Health Impacts
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