Improved European heat event simulation in eddy-resolving climate models

Abstract Owing to the rapid increase of European heat event occurrences over the past decades, the understanding of their physical drivers has become increasingly important for the scientific community. Recently, it has been shown that cold North Atlantic sea surface temperatures are strongly linked to European heat events such as in summers of 2015 and 2018. Thereby, an accurate representation of this mechanism in climate models is crucial for a more realistic European heat event simulation. Here, we investigate the mechanism by employing seven global coupled climate models, of which six models are embedded in the High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project. Our results show that, compared to the models with low-resolution versions, high-resolution ones simulate a more realistic relationship between North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and European summer temperature extremes. This is attributable to a better reproduction of the North Atlantic trough and the downstream ridge anomalies over central Europe. Improvements in high-resolution ocean configurations reduce the North Atlantic surface biases and improves air-sea interactions, thus having implications for the prediction and projection of climate extremes in the North Atlantic-European region.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications Earth & Environment
Published
2026-01-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-03145-9
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Improved European heat event simulation in eddy-resolving climate models

Julian Krüger, Joakim Kjellsson, Daniela Matei, Katja Lohmann et al.
Communications Earth & Environment
Climate variability and models
article

Improved European heat event simulation in eddy-resolving climate models

Julian Krüger, Joakim Kjellsson, Daniela Matei, Katja Lohmann, Robin Pilch Kedzierski
article en

Abstract

Abstract Owing to the rapid increase of European heat event occurrences over the past decades, the understanding of their physical drivers has become increasingly important for the scientific community. Recently, it has been shown that cold North Atlantic sea surface temperatures are strongly linked to European heat events such as in summers of 2015 and 2018. Thereby, an accurate representation of this mechanism in climate models is crucial for a more realistic European heat event simulation. Here, we investigate the mechanism by employing seven global coupled climate models, of which six models are embedded in the High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project. Our results show that, compared to the models with low-resolution versions, high-resolution ones simulate a more realistic relationship between North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and European summer temperature extremes. This is attributable to a better reproduction of the North Atlantic trough and the downstream ridge anomalies over central Europe. Improvements in high-resolution ocean configurations reduce the North Atlantic surface biases and improves air-sea interactions, thus having implications for the prediction and projection of climate extremes in the North Atlantic-European region.

Communications Earth & EnvironmentVol. 7(1)
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SE), University of Vienna (AT), Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel (DE), GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (DE), Hochschule Campus Wien (AT), Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (DE)
Bundesministerium für Verkehr und Digitale Infrastruktur, European Commission, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 96%
Climate variability and models
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