Transvaginal ultrasound measurement of cervical length in prediction of successful induction of normal labour

Background: The subjectivity of the Bishop score has led to a study exploring cervical length as a more objective predictor of labor induction success. Aim: To determine the value of transvaginal measurements of cervical length in the prediction of successful induction of labor. Patients and methods: This was cross-sectional research that was conducted at Al Hussine Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Al-Azhar University, during the period from 6/2024 to 6/2025. Included were 100 pregnant females admitted for induction of labor. Results: Vaginal delivery was attained in 71% of cases, whereas 29% required cesarean section. A statistically significant variance has been observed among groups regarding parity, but insignificant variances in gestational age, age, body mass index (BMI), or Bishop score (p = 0.056). Cervical length was significantly shorter in the vaginal delivery group (29.01 ± 5.86 mm) compared to the cesarean group(37.3 ± 5.6 mm) with p < 0.001, indicating a strong association with successful vaginal delivery. ROC curve analysis illustrated cervical length had an excellent predictive accuracy, with an AUC of 0.841, a cutoff of 33.4 mm, sensitivity of 77.5%, and specificity of 79.3%. The Bishop score showed moderate predictive value (AUC = 0.637), with a cutoff of 4.5, sensitivity of 60.6%, and specificity of 62.1% (p = 0.032). A positive association has been observed between cervical length and induction outcome. Conclusion: Cervical length better predicts induction success than Bishop score and may help reduce cesarean deliveries.

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Publication Details

Journal
Al-Azhar International Medical Journal /Al-Azhar International Medical Journal
Published
2025-09-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.21608/aimj.2025.410042.2722
Primary Topic
Maternal and Perinatal Health Interventions
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article
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article

Transvaginal ultrasound measurement of cervical length in prediction of successful induction of normal labour

Al-Metwally Farouk Al-Shahat, Islam Adel Nour Eldine Abdel Rahim, ISMAIL Mohammed Abdel Azim Mira
Al-Azhar International Medical Journal /Al-Azhar International Medical Journal
Maternal and Perinatal Health Interventions
article

Transvaginal ultrasound measurement of cervical length in prediction of successful induction of normal labour

Al-Metwally Farouk Al-Shahat, Islam Adel Nour Eldine Abdel Rahim, ISMAIL Mohammed Abdel Azim Mira
article en

Abstract

Background: The subjectivity of the Bishop score has led to a study exploring cervical length as a more objective predictor of labor induction success. Aim: To determine the value of transvaginal measurements of cervical length in the prediction of successful induction of labor. Patients and methods: This was cross-sectional research that was conducted at Al Hussine Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Al-Azhar University, during the period from 6/2024 to 6/2025. Included were 100 pregnant females admitted for induction of labor. Results: Vaginal delivery was attained in 71% of cases, whereas 29% required cesarean section. A statistically significant variance has been observed among groups regarding parity, but insignificant variances in gestational age, age, body mass index (BMI), or Bishop score (p = 0.056). Cervical length was significantly shorter in the vaginal delivery group (29.01 ± 5.86 mm) compared to the cesarean group(37.3 ± 5.6 mm) with p < 0.001, indicating a strong association with successful vaginal delivery. ROC curve analysis illustrated cervical length had an excellent predictive accuracy, with an AUC of 0.841, a cutoff of 33.4 mm, sensitivity of 77.5%, and specificity of 79.3%. The Bishop score showed moderate predictive value (AUC = 0.637), with a cutoff of 4.5, sensitivity of 60.6%, and specificity of 62.1% (p = 0.032). A positive association has been observed between cervical length and induction outcome. Conclusion: Cervical length better predicts induction success than Bishop score and may help reduce cesarean deliveries.

Al-Azhar International Medical Journal /Al-Azhar International Medical JournalVol. 2025(9)
Al-Azhar University (EG)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Maternal and Perinatal Health Interventions
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