Offshore wind power forecasting with wind-regime clustering and multi-scale feature learning

Short-term forecasting of offshore wind power is critical for grid stability, yet it remains a persistent challenge due to the inherent volatility and noise in both meteorological and power data. To address this challenge, a deep learning approach is introduced that integrates a wind-regime clustering strategy with an architecture combining an Inception network, a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory network, and a Multi-Head Self-Attention mechanism. Wind-direction-based pre-classification and K-means clustering are employed to organize historical data into distinct meteorological regimes, which are subsequently processed by the predictive model. The Inception network extracts multi-scale temporal features, the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory network captures long-range dependencies, and the Multi-Head Self-Attention mechanism emphasizes critical feature interactions. Experiments using real offshore wind farm data demonstrate that the approach achieves high accuracy and strong robustness, effectively supporting the scheduling and integration of offshore wind power.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
Published
2026-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijepes.2025.111553
Citations
4
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
87.72
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Offshore wind power forecasting with wind-regime clustering and multi-scale feature learning

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Offshore wind power forecasting with wind-regime clustering and multi-scale feature learning

Changchun Cai, Yuqing Jin, Qinglun Shi, Yang Tao, Shixi Hou, Mingang Hua
article en
4 citations

Abstract

Short-term forecasting of offshore wind power is critical for grid stability, yet it remains a persistent challenge due to the inherent volatility and noise in both meteorological and power data. To address this challenge, a deep learning approach is introduced that integrates a wind-regime clustering strategy with an architecture combining an Inception network, a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory network, and a Multi-Head Self-Attention mechanism. Wind-direction-based pre-classification and K-means clustering are employed to organize historical data into distinct meteorological regimes, which are subsequently processed by the predictive model. The Inception network extracts multi-scale temporal features, the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory network captures long-range dependencies, and the Multi-Head Self-Attention mechanism emphasizes critical feature interactions. Experiments using real offshore wind farm data demonstrate that the approach achieves high accuracy and strong robustness, effectively supporting the scheduling and integration of offshore wind power.

International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy SystemsVol. 174
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
87.72
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