Real-World Survival Outcomes Following Metastasectomy in RAS Wild-Type mCRC: Insights from a Multicentre National Cohort Study

<b>Background</b>: Metastasectomy is a cornerstone of multimodal management in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), yet contemporary real-world data focusing specifically on RAS wild-type (RAS-WT) disease remain limited. We aimed to evaluate survival outcomes and prognostic factors associated with metastasectomy in patients with RAS-WT mCRC using a large national multicentre registry. <b>Methods</b>: This retrospective cohort study utilized data from the ONKO-KOLON Türkiye registry. A total of 1079 patients with pathologically confirmed KRAS/NRAS wild-type mCRC were identified and categorized according to receipt of metastasectomy. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with log-rank tests across multiple clinically relevant time origins, including metastatic diagnosis, initial colorectal cancer diagnosis, and time of metastasectomy. Prognostic factors within the metastasectomy cohort were assessed using univariate Cox proportional hazards models. Serum CEA and CA19-9 were analyzed after log<sub>10</sub> transformation. <b>Results</b>: Among 1079 patients, 185 (17.1%) underwent metastasectomy. Patients receiving metastasectomy demonstrated significantly longer OS compared with those managed non-surgically when survival was calculated from the time of metastatic diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] for death 0.36, 95% CI 0.27-0.47; <i>p</i> < 0.001), as well as improved PFS (HR for progression or death 0.39, 95% CI 0.30-0.52; <i>p</i> < 0.001). The survival advantage remained consistent when OS was measured from the time of initial colorectal cancer diagnosis (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.25-0.50; <i>p</i> < 0.001). Median OS following metastasectomy was 43 months (95% CI 31.4-45.6). In univariate analyses within the metastasectomy cohort, higher baseline CA19-9 levels were significantly associated with inferior OS when analyzed both as a continuous variable (per log<sub>10</sub> increase; HR 1.81, 95% CI 1.20-2.75; <i>p</i> = 0.005) and as a categorical variable (above vs. below threshold; HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.16-0.86; <i>p</i> = 0.021). Other clinicopathologic factors, including age, CEA, tumor sidedness, grade, MSI status, and metastatic burden, were not significantly associated with survival. <b>Conclusions</b>: In this large, real-world national cohort of RAS-WT mCRC, metastasectomy was strongly associated with prolonged survival across multiple clinically relevant time frames. Within surgically treated patients, baseline CA19-9 emerged as the most informative prognostic marker, while traditional clinicopathologic variables showed limited discriminatory value. These findings highlight the importance of careful patient selection and support further prospective studies integrating molecular and biomarker-based strategies to refine prognostication and optimize surgical decision-making in RAS-WT mCRC.

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Published
2026-01-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15020467
Primary Topic
Colorectal Cancer Treatments and Studies
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article
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article

Real-World Survival Outcomes Following Metastasectomy in RAS Wild-Type mCRC: Insights from a Multicentre National Cohort Study

Ahmet Bılıcı, Mahmut Gümüş, Mustafa Karaca, Sinemis Çelik et al.
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Colorectal Cancer Treatments and Studies
article

Real-World Survival Outcomes Following Metastasectomy in RAS Wild-Type mCRC: Insights from a Multicentre National Cohort Study

Ahmet Bılıcı, Mahmut Gümüş, Mustafa Karaca, Sinemis Çelik, Mahmut Emre Yıldırım, Umut Kefeli, Erdem Çubukçu, İlker Ökten, Nuri Karadurmuş, Emrah Şimşek, Bülent Karabulut, Melike Özçelik, Şuayib Yalçın, Hacı Mehmet Türk, Tuba Baydaş, Bala Başak Öven, Cemil Bilir, Abdurrahman Işıkdoğan, Çağatay Aslan, Mehmet Ali Nahit Şendur, Faysal Dane
article en

Abstract

<b>Background</b>: Metastasectomy is a cornerstone of multimodal management in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), yet contemporary real-world data focusing specifically on RAS wild-type (RAS-WT) disease remain limited. We aimed to evaluate survival outcomes and prognostic factors associated with metastasectomy in patients with RAS-WT mCRC using a large national multicentre registry. <b>Methods</b>: This retrospective cohort study utilized data from the ONKO-KOLON Türkiye registry. A total of 1079 patients with pathologically confirmed KRAS/NRAS wild-type mCRC were identified and categorized according to receipt of metastasectomy. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with log-rank tests across multiple clinically relevant time origins, including metastatic diagnosis, initial colorectal cancer diagnosis, and time of metastasectomy. Prognostic factors within the metastasectomy cohort were assessed using univariate Cox proportional hazards models. Serum CEA and CA19-9 were analyzed after log<sub>10</sub> transformation. <b>Results</b>: Among 1079 patients, 185 (17.1%) underwent metastasectomy. Patients receiving metastasectomy demonstrated significantly longer OS compared with those managed non-surgically when survival was calculated from the time of metastatic diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] for death 0.36, 95% CI 0.27-0.47; <i>p</i> < 0.001), as well as improved PFS (HR for progression or death 0.39, 95% CI 0.30-0.52; <i>p</i> < 0.001). The survival advantage remained consistent when OS was measured from the time of initial colorectal cancer diagnosis (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.25-0.50; <i>p</i> < 0.001). Median OS following metastasectomy was 43 months (95% CI 31.4-45.6). In univariate analyses within the metastasectomy cohort, higher baseline CA19-9 levels were significantly associated with inferior OS when analyzed both as a continuous variable (per log<sub>10</sub> increase; HR 1.81, 95% CI 1.20-2.75; <i>p</i> = 0.005) and as a categorical variable (above vs. below threshold; HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.16-0.86; <i>p</i> = 0.021). Other clinicopathologic factors, including age, CEA, tumor sidedness, grade, MSI status, and metastatic burden, were not significantly associated with survival. <b>Conclusions</b>: In this large, real-world national cohort of RAS-WT mCRC, metastasectomy was strongly associated with prolonged survival across multiple clinically relevant time frames. Within surgically treated patients, baseline CA19-9 emerged as the most informative prognostic marker, while traditional clinicopathologic variables showed limited discriminatory value. These findings highlight the importance of careful patient selection and support further prospective studies integrating molecular and biomarker-based strategies to refine prognostication and optimize surgical decision-making in RAS-WT mCRC.

Journal of Clinical MedicineVol. 15(2)
Dicle University (TR), Bursa Uludağ Üni̇versi̇tesi̇ (TR), Izmir University (TR), İzmir University of Economics (TR), Akdeniz University (TR), Kent Hospital (US), Bezmiâlem Vakıf Üniversitesi (TR), Istanbul Medipol University (TR), Memorial Ankara Hospital (TR), Ümraniye Eğitim ve Araştırma Hastanesi (TR), Hacettepe University Hospital (TR), Sağlık Bilimleri Üniversitesi (TR), Acıbadem Kadıköy Hospital (TR), Istanbul Eye Hospital (TR), Kent Hastanesi (TR), Yeditepe University Hospital (TR), Turkish Society of Cardiology (TR), Ankara Bilkent City Hospital (TR), Kocaeli Üniversitesi (TR), Istanbul Medeniyet University (TR), Hacettepe University (TR), University of Health Sciences Antigua (AG)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 96%
Colorectal Cancer Treatments and Studies
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