Exploring Risk Factors of Mycotoxin Contamination in Fresh Eggs Using Machine Learning Techniques

Mycotoxins are toxic compounds produced by certain fungi, whose health effects may be significant when they contaminate fresh eggs. Conventional methods of mycotoxin analysis, while accurate, are labor-intensive, time-consuming, and impractical for large-scale screening applications. This study attempts to use using machine learning techniques to predict the concentration and presence of deoxynivalenol (DON), aflatoxin B1 (AFB1), and ochratoxin A (OTA) in fresh eggs from Jordan. Rather than replacing analytical detection methods, the proposed approach can enable a risk-based prioritization of samples for laboratory testing by identifying high-risk samples based on environmental and production factors. A dataset consisting of 1250 poultry egg samples collected between January and July 2024 under several factors involving environmental conditions and chemical assay results regarding mycotoxin content in eggs was used. Several machine learning algorithms were used in this study to build predictive models, including decision trees, support vector machines, and neural networks. The results indicate that machine learning can accurately and reliably predict mycotoxin contamination, which demonstrates the potential for integrating machine learning into food safety protocols. This study contributes toward developing predictive analytics for food safety and lays the groundwork for future research aimed at improving contamination monitoring systems.