Patterns in solar activity over the first millennium CE
Abstract Radiocarbon ( 14 C) measurements are a powerful tool for reconstructing past solar activity and identifying extreme events caused by bursts of high-energy particles from the Sun. Such reconstructions improve understanding of long-term solar behaviour and the likelihood of hazardous particle events that are capable of disrupting modern technology. Here we present an annually resolved 14 C record spanning 1 to 970 CE comprising five newly measured and three existing series from tree rings. The record is analysed with methods that combine statistical modelling of the carbon cycle, data-adaptive decomposition of solar cycles, and probabilistic detection of rapid 14 C increases associated with energetic particle events. These analyses reveal four major intervals of reduced solar activity, two patterns in which the eleven-year cycle weakens then strengthens, and four candidate particle events in the years 14, 553, 675 and 954 CE.
Authors
- Susanne Lindauer (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5363-2755)
- Ronny Friedrich (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5199-1957)
- Benjamin J. S. Pope (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2595-9114)
- Michael Dee (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3116-453X)
- Thorsten Westphal (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-3657-2047)
- David Brown (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0002-4026-9680)
- Kirsten Schwabe
- Hannes Knapp
- Mathew J. Owens
- Jian Wang
Institutions
- Queen's University Belfast (GB)
- University of Groningen (NL)
- University of Cologne (DE)
- Curt Engelhorn Centre Archaeometry (DE)
- University of Reading (GB)
- Macquarie University (AU)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Communications Earth & Environment
- Published
- 2026-01-06
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-03120-4
- Primary Topic
- Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Baden-Württemberg Stiftung
- China Scholarship Council