Patterns in solar activity over the first millennium CE

Abstract Radiocarbon ( 14 C) measurements are a powerful tool for reconstructing past solar activity and identifying extreme events caused by bursts of high-energy particles from the Sun. Such reconstructions improve understanding of long-term solar behaviour and the likelihood of hazardous particle events that are capable of disrupting modern technology. Here we present an annually resolved 14 C record spanning 1 to 970 CE comprising five newly measured and three existing series from tree rings. The record is analysed with methods that combine statistical modelling of the carbon cycle, data-adaptive decomposition of solar cycles, and probabilistic detection of rapid 14 C increases associated with energetic particle events. These analyses reveal four major intervals of reduced solar activity, two patterns in which the eleven-year cycle weakens then strengthens, and four candidate particle events in the years 14, 553, 675 and 954 CE.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications Earth & Environment
Published
2026-01-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-03120-4
Primary Topic
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Patterns in solar activity over the first millennium CE

Susanne Lindauer, Ronny Friedrich, Benjamin J. S. Pope, Michael Dee et al.
Communications Earth & Environment
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
article

Patterns in solar activity over the first millennium CE

Susanne Lindauer, Ronny Friedrich, Benjamin J. S. Pope, Michael Dee, Thorsten Westphal, David Brown, Kirsten Schwabe, Hannes Knapp, Mathew J. Owens, Jian Wang
article en

Abstract

Abstract Radiocarbon ( 14 C) measurements are a powerful tool for reconstructing past solar activity and identifying extreme events caused by bursts of high-energy particles from the Sun. Such reconstructions improve understanding of long-term solar behaviour and the likelihood of hazardous particle events that are capable of disrupting modern technology. Here we present an annually resolved 14 C record spanning 1 to 970 CE comprising five newly measured and three existing series from tree rings. The record is analysed with methods that combine statistical modelling of the carbon cycle, data-adaptive decomposition of solar cycles, and probabilistic detection of rapid 14 C increases associated with energetic particle events. These analyses reveal four major intervals of reduced solar activity, two patterns in which the eleven-year cycle weakens then strengthens, and four candidate particle events in the years 14, 553, 675 and 954 CE.

Communications Earth & EnvironmentVol. 7(1)
Queen's University Belfast (GB), University of Groningen (NL), University of Cologne (DE), Curt Engelhorn Centre Archaeometry (DE), University of Reading (GB), Macquarie University (AU)
Baden-Württemberg Stiftung, China Scholarship Council
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
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