Delaying cancer progression by integrating toxicity constraints in a model of adaptive therapy

Cancer therapies often fail when intolerable toxicity or drug-resistant cancer cells undermine otherwise effective treatment strategies. Over the past decade, adaptive therapy has emerged as a promising approach to postpone emergence of resistance by altering dose timing based on tumor burden thresholds. Despite encouraging results, these protocols often overlook the crucial role of toxicity-induced treatment breaks, which may permit tumor regrowth. Herein, we explore the following question: would incorporating toxicity feedback improve or hinder the efficacy of adaptive therapy? To address this question, we propose a mathematical framework for incorporating toxic feedback into treatment design. We find that the degree of competition between sensitive and resistant populations, along with the growth rate of resistant cells, critically modulates the impact of toxicity feedback on time to progression. Further, our conceptual model identifies circumstances where strategic treatment breaks, which may be based on either tumor size or toxicity, can mitigate overtreatment and extend time to progression, both at the baseline parameterization and across a heterogeneous virtual population. Taken together, these findings highlight the importance of integrating toxicity considerations into the design of adaptive therapy.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Systems Biology and Applications
Published
2026-01-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41540-025-00635-6
Primary Topic
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Delaying cancer progression by integrating toxicity constraints in a model of adaptive therapy

Jana L. Gevertz, Harsh Jain, Kathleen P. Wilkie, Eduardo D. Sontag et al.
npj Systems Biology and Applications
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
article

Delaying cancer progression by integrating toxicity constraints in a model of adaptive therapy

Jana L. Gevertz, Harsh Jain, Kathleen P. Wilkie, Eduardo D. Sontag, Irina Kareva, Joel S. Brown, Yitong Huang, Vladimir Vinogradov, Mark Davies
article en

Abstract

Cancer therapies often fail when intolerable toxicity or drug-resistant cancer cells undermine otherwise effective treatment strategies. Over the past decade, adaptive therapy has emerged as a promising approach to postpone emergence of resistance by altering dose timing based on tumor burden thresholds. Despite encouraging results, these protocols often overlook the crucial role of toxicity-induced treatment breaks, which may permit tumor regrowth. Herein, we explore the following question: would incorporating toxicity feedback improve or hinder the efficacy of adaptive therapy? To address this question, we propose a mathematical framework for incorporating toxic feedback into treatment design. We find that the degree of competition between sensitive and resistant populations, along with the growth rate of resistant cells, critically modulates the impact of toxicity feedback on time to progression. Further, our conceptual model identifies circumstances where strategic treatment breaks, which may be based on either tumor size or toxicity, can mitigate overtreatment and extend time to progression, both at the baseline parameterization and across a heterogeneous virtual population. Taken together, these findings highlight the importance of integrating toxicity considerations into the design of adaptive therapy.

npj Systems Biology and ApplicationsVol. 12(1)
Northeastern University (US), University of Toronto (CA), Smith College (US), Scarborough Health Network (CA), Moffitt Cancer Center (US), Clinical Insights (US), Ohio University (US), University of Minnesota, Duluth (US), Toronto Metropolitan University (CA), The College of New Jersey (US), Cardiff University (GB), Cardiff Metropolitan University (GB)
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, Division of Mathematical Sciences
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 96%
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
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