The Dual Constraints of Ecological Regulation: How Opportunity Loss and Psychological Distance Entrap Coastal Farmers’ Livelihoods

Coastal ecological regulation plays a crucial role in coordinating the human–environment system and promotes sustainable development, yet it often imposes constraints on the livelihoods of local farmers. Drawing on questionnaire survey data from Chinese coastal farmers, this study quantifies farmers’ opportunity loss through the expectation function and entropy method. Subsequently, a Multinomial Logit model and Generalized Structural Equation Modeling (GSEM) are employed to systematically investigate the mechanisms through which ecological regulation-induced opportunity loss influences coastal farmers’ livelihood transition between 2013 and 2023. The findings reveal that greater opportunity loss significantly inhibits the fishing households’ livelihood transition, exhibiting a ‘livelihood stickiness’ effect. This inhibitory effect is partially mediated by a narrowing of farmers’ psychological distance from environmental issues. Specifically, social distance, reflecting community attachment and identity, plays a dominant mediating role. Furthermore, regulation intensity significantly amplifies this inhibitory effect. Notably, in the absence of substantive compensation or alternative livelihood support, greater policy publicity further reinforces this inhibitory impact. These findings underscore the need for policy interventions that provide compensation and alternative livelihood support commensurate with farmers’ opportunity loss. Enhancing community participation is also crucial to better reconcile coastal conservation objectives with the sustainable livelihoods of local communities.