Merger and acquisition prediction based on deep learning with attention mechanism

This study proposes a novel attention-based deep neural network (AttDNN) model specifically designed for predicting mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The model extends existing deep learning frameworks by incorporating M&A-specific features, regularization layers, and an attention mechanism that emulates human cognitive processes to structure M&A drivers and improve predictive performance. Empirical results demonstrate that the AttDNN model significantly outperforms traditional algorithms in forecasting M&A outcomes, achieving a 29.2 % improvement in predictive accuracy over conventional deep learning methods. This study provides valuable insights at the intersection of artificial intelligence and financial economics, offering practical implications for financial strategy and corporate M&A decision-making.

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Publication Details

Journal
China Journal of Accounting Research
Published
2026-01-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cjar.2025.100459
Primary Topic
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Merger and acquisition prediction based on deep learning with attention mechanism

Yongjia Zheng, Rui Wang, Liangyong Wan, Xiaoying Xu
China Journal of Accounting Research
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
article

Merger and acquisition prediction based on deep learning with attention mechanism

Yongjia Zheng, Rui Wang, Liangyong Wan, Xiaoying Xu
article en

Abstract

This study proposes a novel attention-based deep neural network (AttDNN) model specifically designed for predicting mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The model extends existing deep learning frameworks by incorporating M&A-specific features, regularization layers, and an attention mechanism that emulates human cognitive processes to structure M&A drivers and improve predictive performance. Empirical results demonstrate that the AttDNN model significantly outperforms traditional algorithms in forecasting M&A outcomes, achieving a 29.2 % improvement in predictive accuracy over conventional deep learning methods. This study provides valuable insights at the intersection of artificial intelligence and financial economics, offering practical implications for financial strategy and corporate M&A decision-making.

China Journal of Accounting ResearchVol. 19(1)
South China University of Technology (CN)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 97%
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
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Merger and acquisition prediction based on deep learning with attention mechanism — Yongjia Zheng, Rui Wang, et al. · China Journal of Accounting Research (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS