Patterns of Spatial Voting in 2014 and 2018 Elections for the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies

This study compares voting patterns in Brazil’s 2014 and 2018 federal deputy elections with those of 1994 and 1998 (Carvalho, 2003). Electoral data provided by the TSE election data are analysed quantitatively and compared with geographic and HDI data, revealing significant changes. There are more pronounced differences between the recent consecutive elections; the largest municipalities have become more competitive. Although this study cannot predict future electoral outcomes, the use of recent data reveals the political geography of voting and the changed political context. These findings provide a significant contribution to the literature, potentially supporting decision-making in several related areas, including the Brazilian electoral system.