Cultural celebrations and investor gambling behavior

We document a surge in gambling demand surrounding the Lunar New Year (LNY) period in the Chinese A-share market. Lottery-like stocks significantly outperform non-lottery-like stocks by 4.1% over the ten trading days following the LNY. These gains gradually diminish over the longer term, consistent with a short-term mispricing effect. This effect is specific to the LNY window and is not observed during other major Chinese holidays or ordinary trading periods. Furthermore, the phenomenon is not driven by state-owned enterprises or Special Treatment (ST) stocks. Overall, our findings suggest that the cultural significance of the Chinese Lunar New Year plays a distinct role in shaping investor gambling demand and asset pricing dynamics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
Published
2026-01-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2026.101139
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Cultural celebrations and investor gambling behavior

John Hua Fan, Mingyi Li, Xinyu Wang
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Cultural celebrations and investor gambling behavior

John Hua Fan, Mingyi Li, Xinyu Wang
article en

Abstract

We document a surge in gambling demand surrounding the Lunar New Year (LNY) period in the Chinese A-share market. Lottery-like stocks significantly outperform non-lottery-like stocks by 4.1% over the ten trading days following the LNY. These gains gradually diminish over the longer term, consistent with a short-term mispricing effect. This effect is specific to the LNY window and is not observed during other major Chinese holidays or ordinary trading periods. Furthermore, the phenomenon is not driven by state-owned enterprises or Special Treatment (ST) stocks. Overall, our findings suggest that the cultural significance of the Chinese Lunar New Year plays a distinct role in shaping investor gambling demand and asset pricing dynamics.

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental FinanceVol. 49
Griffith University (AU), Deakin University (AU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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Cultural celebrations and investor gambling behavior — John Hua Fan, Mingyi Li, et al. · Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS