UTILIZING BIG DATA FOR SOCIAL MEDIA TREND FORECASTING AND INFLUENCE ANALYSIS

Social media has become a vital tool for shaping public opinion, political debate, and consumer choice- making trend predictions and influencer analysis have never been more critical for businesses, policymakers and researchers. This paper introduces a new methodology of combining sentiment analysis, machine learning and network analysis to predict social media trends and identify cultural influencers. We acquire information from Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook using sophisticated NLP and machine learning models such as LSTM for Sentiment Classification, and ARIMA for Trend Prediction. A mixture of sentiment, user engagement and network centrality for the influential user is introduced. We have presented the results, showing the superiority of our hybrid approach against the traditional ones, with the MAE of trend forecasting for 0.145 and the influencer recommendation F1-score of 86.2%. The results demonstrate the capability of integrating sentiment analysis and influencer detection to enhance trend prediction and influence analysis. The methodology and its implementation provide useful tools for Real-time Social Media Analysis. They have applications in marketing, politics and social science by giving stakeholders control over social media dynamics.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-08-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18109939
Primary Topic
Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

UTILIZING BIG DATA FOR SOCIAL MEDIA TREND FORECASTING AND INFLUENCE ANALYSIS

Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
article

UTILIZING BIG DATA FOR SOCIAL MEDIA TREND FORECASTING AND INFLUENCE ANALYSIS

Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology
article en

Abstract

Social media has become a vital tool for shaping public opinion, political debate, and consumer choice- making trend predictions and influencer analysis have never been more critical for businesses, policymakers and researchers. This paper introduces a new methodology of combining sentiment analysis, machine learning and network analysis to predict social media trends and identify cultural influencers. We acquire information from Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook using sophisticated NLP and machine learning models such as LSTM for Sentiment Classification, and ARIMA for Trend Prediction. A mixture of sentiment, user engagement and network centrality for the influential user is introduced. We have presented the results, showing the superiority of our hybrid approach against the traditional ones, with the MAE of trend forecasting for 0.145 and the influencer recommendation F1-score of 86.2%. The results demonstrate the capability of integrating sentiment analysis and influencer detection to enhance trend prediction and influence analysis. The methodology and its implementation provide useful tools for Real-time Social Media Analysis. They have applications in marketing, politics and social science by giving stakeholders control over social media dynamics.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
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UTILIZING BIG DATA FOR SOCIAL MEDIA TREND FORECASTING AND INFLUENCE ANALYSIS — Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS