Advanced Techniques for Financial Distress Prediction

This study compares Logit, Probit, Extreme Value, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models using data from 2012 to 2024 in the Taiwan electronics industry. ANN outperforms traditional models, achieving 98% accuracy in predicting financial distress. Two robust distress signals are identified: Return on Assets (threshold: 7.03%) and Total Asset Growth (threshold: −9.05%). The nonlinear impacts of financial distress on variables are analyzed, with a focus on contextual considerations in decision-making. These findings bring attention to the importance of utilizing advanced techniques like ANN for improved predictive accuracy, offering profound clarification for risk assessment and management.

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Publication Details

Journal
Forecasting
Published
2025-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast8010002
Primary Topic
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Advanced Techniques for Financial Distress Prediction

Lee-Wen Yang, Jiang Meng Yi, Nguyen Thi Thanh Binh
Forecasting
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
article

Advanced Techniques for Financial Distress Prediction

Lee-Wen Yang, Jiang Meng Yi, Nguyen Thi Thanh Binh
article en

Abstract

This study compares Logit, Probit, Extreme Value, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models using data from 2012 to 2024 in the Taiwan electronics industry. ANN outperforms traditional models, achieving 98% accuracy in predicting financial distress. Two robust distress signals are identified: Return on Assets (threshold: 7.03%) and Total Asset Growth (threshold: −9.05%). The nonlinear impacts of financial distress on variables are analyzed, with a focus on contextual considerations in decision-making. These findings bring attention to the importance of utilizing advanced techniques like ANN for improved predictive accuracy, offering profound clarification for risk assessment and management.

ForecastingVol. 8(1)
Chaoyang University of Technology (TW)
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
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