Advanced Techniques for Financial Distress Prediction
This study compares Logit, Probit, Extreme Value, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models using data from 2012 to 2024 in the Taiwan electronics industry. ANN outperforms traditional models, achieving 98% accuracy in predicting financial distress. Two robust distress signals are identified: Return on Assets (threshold: 7.03%) and Total Asset Growth (threshold: −9.05%). The nonlinear impacts of financial distress on variables are analyzed, with a focus on contextual considerations in decision-making. These findings bring attention to the importance of utilizing advanced techniques like ANN for improved predictive accuracy, offering profound clarification for risk assessment and management.
Authors
- Lee-Wen Yang
- Jiang Meng Yi
- Nguyen Thi Thanh Binh
Institutions
- Chaoyang University of Technology (TW)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Forecasting
- Published
- 2025-12-30
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast8010002
- Primary Topic
- Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00