Relationships Between the Beneish M-Score and Bankruptcy Models

Many well-known cases worldwide demonstrate that even if companies appear financially strong, their actual accounting reality may differ. Uncovering fraudulent behaviour is difficult, so auditors, financial authorities, stock exchanges, etc., must detect and eliminate it. This paper aims to determine the relationship between the Beneish M-score model and two bankruptcy models, Altman’s Z-score and the Czech IN05 model. It verifies if there are significant differences in how these models classify firms, and whether the Beneish model aligns with them. The application part focuses on the 3,568 firms from the Czech manufacturing industry between 2015 and 2022, and uses the Bowker test for symmetry, working with paired data. The Beneish model showed that 34% of enterprises are at risk of fraud. The results of the analyses further confirmed the existence of systematic and statistically significant differences between the classifications of companies according to the Beneish model and the bankruptcy models Alman Z-Score and IN05. Therefore, if companies tend to go bankrupt, it is not possible to determine whether they will tend to manipulate statements or not. Similarly, a tendency to manipulate financial statements cannot be demonstrated in companies with good financial health.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci
Published
2025-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18045/zbefri.2025.2.7
Primary Topic
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
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article
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article

Relationships Between the Beneish M-Score and Bankruptcy Models

Ilona Berková, Marie Vejsadová Dryjová, Jaroslava Pražáková, Jaroslav Svoboda
Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
article

Relationships Between the Beneish M-Score and Bankruptcy Models

Ilona Berková, Marie Vejsadová Dryjová, Jaroslava Pražáková, Jaroslav Svoboda
article en

Abstract

Many well-known cases worldwide demonstrate that even if companies appear financially strong, their actual accounting reality may differ. Uncovering fraudulent behaviour is difficult, so auditors, financial authorities, stock exchanges, etc., must detect and eliminate it. This paper aims to determine the relationship between the Beneish M-score model and two bankruptcy models, Altman’s Z-score and the Czech IN05 model. It verifies if there are significant differences in how these models classify firms, and whether the Beneish model aligns with them. The application part focuses on the 3,568 firms from the Czech manufacturing industry between 2015 and 2022, and uses the Bowker test for symmetry, working with paired data. The Beneish model showed that 34% of enterprises are at risk of fraud. The results of the analyses further confirmed the existence of systematic and statistically significant differences between the classifications of companies according to the Beneish model and the bankruptcy models Alman Z-Score and IN05. Therefore, if companies tend to go bankrupt, it is not possible to determine whether they will tend to manipulate statements or not. Similarly, a tendency to manipulate financial statements cannot be demonstrated in companies with good financial health.

Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u RijeciVol. 43(2)
Sewanee: The University of the South (US), University of South Bohemia in České Budějovice (CZ)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
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Relationships Between the Beneish M-Score and Bankruptcy Models — Ilona Berková, Marie Vejsadová Dryjová, et al. · Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS