Turnout and Invalid Voting in Brazilian Municipal Elections: A Runoff Voting System Tale

ABSTRACT This paper assesses the impact of Brazil's hybrid mayoral voting system on voters' choices and examines the shift in blank, null, and turnout between the first and second rounds. Using fixed‐effects and RDD techniques over 5570 municipalities between 2000 and 2020, this study shows that runoff voting generates more abstention and invalid voting than one‐round voting. The restriction of choices in the second round is found to be the main reason to alienate voters from the electoral process. Moreover, the percentages of blank, null, and turnout in the first round proved to have a significant persistent effect on the second round.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scottish Journal of Political Economy
Published
2025-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/sjpe.70044
Primary Topic
Politics and Society in Latin America
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Turnout and Invalid Voting in Brazilian Municipal Elections: A Runoff Voting System Tale

V Estivill Castro, Sérgio Naruhiko Sakurai, Rodrigo Martins
Scottish Journal of Political Economy
Politics and Society in Latin America
article

Turnout and Invalid Voting in Brazilian Municipal Elections: A Runoff Voting System Tale

V Estivill Castro, Sérgio Naruhiko Sakurai, Rodrigo Martins
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper assesses the impact of Brazil's hybrid mayoral voting system on voters' choices and examines the shift in blank, null, and turnout between the first and second rounds. Using fixed‐effects and RDD techniques over 5570 municipalities between 2000 and 2020, this study shows that runoff voting generates more abstention and invalid voting than one‐round voting. The restriction of choices in the second round is found to be the main reason to alienate voters from the electoral process. Moreover, the percentages of blank, null, and turnout in the first round proved to have a significant persistent effect on the second round.

Scottish Journal of Political Economy
Universidade de Ribeirão Preto (BR), Loughborough University (GB), Loughborough College (GB), University of Coimbra (PT), University of Minho (PT)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Politics and Society in Latin America
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Turnout and Invalid Voting in Brazilian Municipal Elections: A Runoff Voting System Tale — V Estivill Castro, Sérgio Naruhiko Sakurai, et al. · Scottish Journal of Political Economy (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS