DWTPred-Net: A Spatiotemporal Ionospheric TEC Prediction Model Using Denoising Wavelet Transform Convolution

PredRNN is a spatiotemporal prediction model based on ST-LSTM units, capable of simultaneously extracting spatiotemporal features from ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC). However, its internal convolutional operations require large kernels to capture low-frequency features, which can easily lead to model over-parameterization and consequently limit its performance. Although some studies have employed wavelet transform convolution (WTConv) to improve feature extraction efficiency, the introduced noise interferes with effective feature representation. To address this, this paper proposes a denoising wavelet transform convolution (DWTConv) and constructs the DWTPred-Net model with it as the key component. To systematically validate the model’s performance, we compared it with mainstream models (C1PG, ConvLSTM, and ConvGRU) under different solar activity conditions. The results show that both MAE and RMSE of DWTPred-Net are greatly reduced under all test conditions. In high solar activity, DWTPred-Net reduces RMSE by 13.81%, 6.19%, and 9.28% compared to the C1PG, ConvLSTM, and ConvGRU, respectively. In low solar activity, the advantage of DWTPred-Net becomes even more pronounced, with RMSE reductions further increasing to 19.39%, 11.51%, and 16.10%, respectively. Furthermore, in additional tests across different latitudinal bands and during geomagnetic storm events, the model consistently demonstrates superior performance. These multi-perspective experimental results collectively indicate that DWTPred-Net possesses obvious advantages in improving TEC prediction accuracy.