A mathematical framework for integrating epidemic dynamics and intervention strategies to mitigate hearing loss from lassa virus

Lassa fever is a viral hemorrhagic illness that is transmitted by rodents and has been recognized to have long-term complications, almost exclusively affecting survivors and their experience of permanent hearing loss. This study explores integrating epidemic dynamics with intervention strategies to mitigate the emerging, yet neglected, outcome of Lassa virus infection. A population-based model with gender-specific and special groups for people with hearing loss due to the disease is developed and analyzed. The model includes male-female and rodent-to-person modes of transmission and accounts for nonlinear saturation effects in disease spread. Empirical data are used to calibrate the model and identify key factors that significantly affect disease spread and disability. Five control interventions are proposed and evaluated to reduce person-to-person and rodent-to-human transmission, improve treatment and recovery and minimize disability progression. Numerical simulations demonstrate that timely, combined interventions can significantly reduce infection rates and the number of individuals who develop hearing loss. It emphasizes the interconnection between epidemic control and disability prevention, thereby providing a valuable framework for more holistic public health planning in endemic regions.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Biomathematics
Published
2025-12-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1142/s179352452550175x
Primary Topic
Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A mathematical framework for integrating epidemic dynamics and intervention strategies to mitigate hearing loss from lassa virus

Ali Riaz, Basim M. Makhdoum, Aziz Ullah Awan, Kamel Guedri et al.
International Journal of Biomathematics
Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research
article

A mathematical framework for integrating epidemic dynamics and intervention strategies to mitigate hearing loss from lassa virus

Ali Riaz, Basim M. Makhdoum, Aziz Ullah Awan, Kamel Guedri, Hatoon A. Niyazi, Yasir Ramzan
article en

Abstract

Lassa fever is a viral hemorrhagic illness that is transmitted by rodents and has been recognized to have long-term complications, almost exclusively affecting survivors and their experience of permanent hearing loss. This study explores integrating epidemic dynamics with intervention strategies to mitigate the emerging, yet neglected, outcome of Lassa virus infection. A population-based model with gender-specific and special groups for people with hearing loss due to the disease is developed and analyzed. The model includes male-female and rodent-to-person modes of transmission and accounts for nonlinear saturation effects in disease spread. Empirical data are used to calibrate the model and identify key factors that significantly affect disease spread and disability. Five control interventions are proposed and evaluated to reduce person-to-person and rodent-to-human transmission, improve treatment and recovery and minimize disability progression. Numerical simulations demonstrate that timely, combined interventions can significantly reduce infection rates and the number of individuals who develop hearing loss. It emphasizes the interconnection between epidemic control and disability prevention, thereby providing a valuable framework for more holistic public health planning in endemic regions.

International Journal of Biomathematics
Khazar University (AZ), Shanghai University (CN), University of the Punjab (PK), King Abdulaziz University (SA), Umm al-Qura University (SA)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 30%
Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research
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