Aligning a Household-Level Service Array Through a Jurisdiction-Wide Child Maltreatment Prevention Effort: Protocol for a Geospatial and Counterfactual Modeling Study

This protocol sets forth a novel approach for the allocation of supportive services for families at risk of child maltreatment through geospatial smoothing via an RTM framework and the maximization of service impact through a counterfactual explanation model. Child maltreatment is an unfortunate and ubiquitous issue in the United States. This proposal builds on jurisdiction-wide public health strategies to allocate services in a data-informed fashion and further align future iterations of the allocation strategy using outcomes-based counterfactual modeling at the household level. The flexibility of the proposed methodology enables its application regardless of the collaborating jurisdiction's preferences and constraints.