A hybrid artificial intelligence and deep learning architecture for accurate renewable energy forecasting: comprehensive case studies on wind and PV power

• Hybrid wind-PV forecasting via optimized BiGRU for nonlinear uncertainty modeling. • The proposal of SLFHBA with self-learning mechanism and mutation. • A high-precision forecasting model based on SLFHBA-BiGRU is constructed. • The robustness validation of proposed model across multi-scenario tests ensures forecasting stability. • A systematic validation and performance evaluation paradigm is established. This study proposes a novel hybrid forecasting architecture that synergistically integrates artificial intelligence and deep learning techniques. This approach effectively overcomes the limitations of conventional single models in characterizing complex weather-power coupling relationships. First, we propose an enhanced honey badger algorithm based on self-learning factors, which incorporates three key innovations: (1) the good point set principle for population initialization, (2) an adaptive dynamic learning mechanism, and (3) a Gaussian mutation strategy. Comprehensive case studies demonstrate that the proposed algorithm achieves superior performance in iterative optimization compared to existing methods. Second, we develop a short-term forecasting model for wind and photovoltaic power generation, explicitly designed to balance model effectiveness and generalizability. The self-learning honey badger algorithm is employed to optimize model parameters, enabling robust feature extraction from renewable energy output sequences. Finally, extensive validation and analysis are conducted using real-world hybrid power generation datasets combining wind and solar energy. The results show that the proposed model achieves the lowest root mean square error values and consistently exceeds 99% in R2 across diverse weather conditions. These findings provide a scientific foundation for enhancing the economic operation and dispatch of renewable energy generation systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments
Published
2025-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2025.104812
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A hybrid artificial intelligence and deep learning architecture for accurate renewable energy forecasting: comprehensive case studies on wind and PV power

Yinuo Chen, Keyan Li, Yuwei Liu, Qiang Shen et al.
Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

A hybrid artificial intelligence and deep learning architecture for accurate renewable energy forecasting: comprehensive case studies on wind and PV power

Yinuo Chen, Keyan Li, Yuwei Liu, Qiang Shen, Jiaqi Liu
article en

Abstract

• Hybrid wind-PV forecasting via optimized BiGRU for nonlinear uncertainty modeling. • The proposal of SLFHBA with self-learning mechanism and mutation. • A high-precision forecasting model based on SLFHBA-BiGRU is constructed. • The robustness validation of proposed model across multi-scenario tests ensures forecasting stability. • A systematic validation and performance evaluation paradigm is established. This study proposes a novel hybrid forecasting architecture that synergistically integrates artificial intelligence and deep learning techniques. This approach effectively overcomes the limitations of conventional single models in characterizing complex weather-power coupling relationships. First, we propose an enhanced honey badger algorithm based on self-learning factors, which incorporates three key innovations: (1) the good point set principle for population initialization, (2) an adaptive dynamic learning mechanism, and (3) a Gaussian mutation strategy. Comprehensive case studies demonstrate that the proposed algorithm achieves superior performance in iterative optimization compared to existing methods. Second, we develop a short-term forecasting model for wind and photovoltaic power generation, explicitly designed to balance model effectiveness and generalizability. The self-learning honey badger algorithm is employed to optimize model parameters, enabling robust feature extraction from renewable energy output sequences. Finally, extensive validation and analysis are conducted using real-world hybrid power generation datasets combining wind and solar energy. The results show that the proposed model achieves the lowest root mean square error values and consistently exceeds 99% in R2 across diverse weather conditions. These findings provide a scientific foundation for enhancing the economic operation and dispatch of renewable energy generation systems.

Sustainable Energy Technologies and AssessmentsVol. 85
State Grid Corporation of China (China) (CN), Henan Normal University (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 41%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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