Environmental changes and risk of plague epidemics in Indonesia

We conclude that the historical areas of plague outbreaks have a potential for silent periods of plague transmission which could last decades. Furthermore, land conversion and the development of human settlements in these regions have led to a higher human presence, thus potentially increasing the risk of contact and transmission. There is therefore today a risk of plague resurgence in Indonesia and the current plague-free period might just be a silent period. In order to prevent outbreaks of plague after a period of silence and to implement an early alert system of plague transmission from animals to humans via fleas, the monitoring of potential Y. pestis circulation in sylvatic areas also needs to be intensified.

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Publication Details

Journal
PLoS neglected tropical diseases
Published
2025-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0013839
Primary Topic
Yersinia bacterium, plague, ectoparasites research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Environmental changes and risk of plague epidemics in Indonesia

Sylvie Manguin, Arief Mulyono, Laurent Gavotte, Ni Luh Putu Indi Dharmayanti et al.
PLoS neglected tropical diseases
Yersinia bacterium, plague, ectoparasites research
article

Environmental changes and risk of plague epidemics in Indonesia

Sylvie Manguin, Arief Mulyono, Laurent Gavotte, Ni Luh Putu Indi Dharmayanti, Roger Frutos, Triwibowo Ambar Garjito, Arum Sih Joharina, M. Hidajat, Sandra Perez, Ira Nurmala, Sitti Ganefa Pakki, Ristiyanto, Fabien Marchois, Anung Sugihantono, Farida Dwi Handayani
article en

Abstract

We conclude that the historical areas of plague outbreaks have a potential for silent periods of plague transmission which could last decades. Furthermore, land conversion and the development of human settlements in these regions have led to a higher human presence, thus potentially increasing the risk of contact and transmission. There is therefore today a risk of plague resurgence in Indonesia and the current plague-free period might just be a silent period. In order to prevent outbreaks of plague after a period of silence and to implement an early alert system of plague transmission from animals to humans via fleas, the monitoring of potential Y. pestis circulation in sylvatic areas also needs to be intensified.

PLoS neglected tropical diseasesVol. 19(12)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (FR), Satya Wacana Christian University (ID), Xiamen University (CN), Université de Montpellier (FR), Universitas Airlangga (ID), Mahidol University (TH), Eijkman Institute for Molecular Biology (ID), Laboratoire HydroSciences Montpellier (FR), Acteurs, Ressources et Territoires dans le Développement (FR), Public Health Agency (GB), Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur (FR), Kementerian Kesehatan Republik Indonesia (ID), Ramathibodi Hospital (TH), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (FR)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Yersinia bacterium, plague, ectoparasites research
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
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